TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0abc…5a5c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT4148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$68.1
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$264.87
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$83.69
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs ex-Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerbacked ex-Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$214.68
Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$475.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$216.64
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$106.18
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.47
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.54
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$134.19
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+158%+$158.04
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs K27 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Cbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$63.3
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$91.02
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$110.74
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.85
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Wales vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+320.7%+$1,551.6
Wales leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$247
Will Romania win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Austria vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Sweden leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will United States vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$247.04
Poland vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$76.67
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$484.17
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$224.68
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.17
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.83
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$182.83
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$131.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nice win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.26
Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wolfsburg leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.84
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.