Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bb0d08065ca40e56ee15c94af25ebc16a59d143e65e2d51afb163e484cac4b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $597,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $693,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 562 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 69c | 33,378$22,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,508.64 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 23,837$13,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,975.85 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Falcons | 68c | 23,590$16,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,548.65 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 21,572$13,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,631.66 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 64c | 19,430$12,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,067.5 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 31c | 18,767$5,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880.66 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Spirit | 31c | 16,666$5,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,166.46 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Spirit | 31c | 16,207$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Spirit | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 13,536$4,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,331.37 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…e66cbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 13,234$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 71c | 12,458$8,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.75 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Spirit | 29c | 11,841$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.32 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 62c | 11,318$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318.44 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Team Spirit | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.87 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 9,557$6,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.86 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Spirit | 34c | 9,227$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.74 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Spirit | 31c | 8,897$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.93 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…4e19backed Team Spirit | 37c | 8,012$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 34c | 8,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 71c | 7,472$5,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.05 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…f84ebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 6,921$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Team Spirit | 42c | 6,708$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.36 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Spirit | 41c | 6,512$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.29 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Spirit | 35c | 5,871$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.03 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Spirit | 49c | 5,805$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.13 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 5,694$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Team Falcons | 71c | 5,666$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.92 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 5,500$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Spirit | 28c | 5,120$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.59 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Team Falcons | 65c | 5,053$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.57 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Falcons | 68c | 5,011$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.62 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Spirit | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.94 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 38c | 4,908$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.08 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Team Spirit | 31c | 4,839$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Spirit | 39c | 4,778$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.85 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 37c | 4,621$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.18 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Spirit | 29c | 4,435$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Falcons | 68c | 4,017$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.4 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Falcons | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 28c | 3,917$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.75 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Spirit | 24c | 3,880$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.09 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…a5b2backed Team Falcons | 60c | 3,712$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 3,683$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Team Spirit | 6c | 3,621$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.21 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Team Spirit | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Spirit | 34c | 3,500$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Team Spirit | 41c | 3,413$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.17 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Team Falcons | 71c | 3,338$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.08 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit | 35c | 3,280$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.59 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 34c | 3,168$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.61 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Spirit | 33c | 3,070$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.09 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 3,030$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.6 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Team Falcons | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Team Spirit | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Spirit | 25c | 2,944$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.12 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Team Spirit | 39c | 2,938$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.83 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Falcons | 69c | 2,889$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 2,858$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.07 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Spirit | 34c | 2,801$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.78 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Team Falcons | 72c | 2,739$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.29 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Spirit | 35c | 2,704$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.05 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…5e42backed Team Spirit | 37c | 2,620$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons | 68c | 2,573$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.36 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 2,537$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.21 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Team Falcons | 60c | 2,489$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.07 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 1c | 2,471$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 2,309$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.14 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit | 40c | 2,285$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.41 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Spirit | 31c | 2,258$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Spirit | 33c | 2,253$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.66 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 2,204$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.44 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Team Spirit | 6c | 2,103$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.15 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Team Falcons | 72c | 2,062$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.45 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Falcons | 57c | 2,044$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.1 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Spirit | 15c | 2,041$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.39 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Team Spirit | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit | 37c | 2,000$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.7 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Team Spirit | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Spirit | 41c | 2,000$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.49 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 1,960$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.07 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…b82dbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 1,914$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,896$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.31 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Spirit | 12c | 1,846$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.09 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 60c | 1,827$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.04 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Falcons | 77c | 1,822$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.12 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 1,808$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.56 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Team Falcons | 71c | 1,783$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.82 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,741$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.41 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Team Spirit | 38c | 1,735$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.04 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,721$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.73 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,643$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.32 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.19 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 32c | 1,573$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.19 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…f5c4backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,567$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.8 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Spirit | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.