CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e0ac5d0bb061f2d8d95bb5612ff857cc3a9cf6688ef2fed9f9785bb80f1c5ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 57c | 2,126$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.07 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 43c | 1,150$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.5 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed Under | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 204 | 45.6%93 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 474.59$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.88 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Over | 43c | 349.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 29c | 295.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…5a5cbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 57c | 215.39$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed Over | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Under | 58c | 174.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…3e93backed Under | 56c | 171.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 161.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…749dbacked Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Under | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…88c1backed Over | 44c | 120.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 57c | 119.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 24c | 119.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 53c | 114.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 30c | 108.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 46c | 95.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Over | 50c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…ee2ebacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…6498backed Under | 46c | 64.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x657f…3d6fbacked Over | 46c | 62.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3141…b62fbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Under | 62c | 56.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 48c | 55.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Over | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760e…db1abacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 38c | 44.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Over | 40c | 43.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…c27dbacked Over | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 30c | 41.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…7235backed Under | 52c | 38.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…09c1backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 26.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 49c | 26.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 40c | 26.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…bdf2backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Under | 51c | 19.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4be1backed Under | 57c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Under | 62c | 17.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…67f7backed Under | 66c | 17.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 60c | 17.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.