TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, FaZe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,691,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,827,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,691,238 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 630 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked FaZe20c833,307$167,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167,979.3342440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Natus Vincere72c102,949$74,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,324.3523355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked FaZe0c99,000$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9919050%95 W · 95 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere72c64,196$46,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,732.9176058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FaZe27c60,000$16,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,199.971,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Natus Vincere72c59,500$42,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,659.9338358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Natus Vincere71c44,444$31,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,888.687454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa643…d43dbacked FaZe29c42,068$12,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,198.442733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked Natus Vincere72c38,370$27,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,743.537054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Natus Vincere71c28,655$20,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,3105156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed FaZe29c25,488$7,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,391.431030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Natus Vincere72c25,488$18,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,136.561060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Natus Vincere72c25,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00075652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed FaZe10c22,222$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,222.232425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed FaZe27c21,296$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,749.81030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47b3…039cbacked Natus Vincere72c20,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6005742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Natus Vincere74c19,917$14,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,194.1619055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed FaZe20c19,337$3,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8976737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed FaZe27c19,104$5,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,097.8650054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FaZe27c18,024$4,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,906.8764852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere73c17,956$13,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,796.2437646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe807…307cbacked Natus Vincere71c17,950$12,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,205.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed FaZe10c17,896$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.1120%0 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere74c16,924$12,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,419.473,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed FaZe28c15,555$4,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.2333343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdc…b42cbacked FaZe27c15,099$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Natus Vincere74c13,514$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.5117460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa938…3bc8backed Natus Vincere74c12,150$8,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1593100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Natus Vincere74c12,000$8,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12022142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa16e…7351backed Natus Vincere74c11,743$8,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,053.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Natus Vincere73c11,739$8,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,169.5129858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere72c11,082$7,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.325,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed FaZe18c10,765$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.9242142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1a…5abfbacked Natus Vincere73c10,629$7,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,855.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Natus Vincere72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed Natus Vincere72c9,704$6,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717.23850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FaZe16c9,107$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.685,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed FaZe28c8,896$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.7917240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere73c8,838$6,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,344.612,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked FaZe8c8,291$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.6129127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e0…4746backed Natus Vincere74c7,432$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FaZe24c6,693$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6081,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed Natus Vincere74c6,664$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.571275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked Natus Vincere74c6,615$4,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.911354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Natus Vincere73c6,410$4,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.712651.6%65 W · 61 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Natus Vincere72c6,064$4,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.277766.2%51 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked FaZe28c6,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf15…2aa9backed Natus Vincere72c5,853$4,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.845253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed FaZe32c5,644$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7859023.3%21 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked FaZe23c5,593$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.43506%3 W · 47 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-76.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Natus Vincere72c5,200$3,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4564643.5%20 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Natus Vincere73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9537946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5460…7d0ebacked FaZe30c4,898$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick28cpaid+79.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Natus Vincere74c4,865$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.8627452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Natus Vincere75c4,820$3,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18622468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Natus Vincere73c4,711$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2914854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa0…e20fbacked FaZe12c4,606$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.024045%18 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Natus Vincere72c4,459$3,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.5227940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7cc…791fbacked Natus Vincere74c4,200$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Natus Vincere73c4,157$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.356147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FaZe17c4,065$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.455236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed FaZe29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1604459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4b…5345backed Natus Vincere74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0403966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed FaZe20c4,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7806126.2%16 W · 45 L-9.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa6a0…4469backed Natus Vincere74c3,807$2,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9914759.2%87 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Natus Vincere73c3,790$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.310850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed FaZe10c3,500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked FaZe29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed FaZe29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed Natus Vincere72c3,396$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.758842%37 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47dd…cdebbacked FaZe1c3,250$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FaZe13c3,208$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.735,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked FaZe10c3,202$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.27247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed FaZe25c3,200$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked Natus Vincere72c3,194$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.447441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Natus Vincere72c3,125$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87525344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked FaZe27c3,100$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83721424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Natus Vincere70c3,066$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.875867.2%39 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Natus Vincere73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.9738954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed FaZe27c2,963$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.0260853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed FaZe33c2,957$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.322849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5972…cfa6backed FaZe11c2,927$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.99520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere73c2,827$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.2563541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Natus Vincere72c2,805$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.54139%16 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c3a…eb16backed FaZe27c2,794$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.383528.6%10 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Natus Vincere72c2,778$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.7848240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d9…01e3backed Natus Vincere72c2,760$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.841050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Natus Vincere73c2,756$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.1623952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Natus Vincere73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.7325261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked FaZe29c2,622$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505052%26 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere78c2,440$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.196,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4e…9557backed FaZe13c2,399$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-75.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked Natus Vincere73c2,396$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbba…c191backed Natus Vincere72c2,390$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.092055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere70c2,361$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.031,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere70c2,326$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.5387047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FaZe32c2,311$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed FaZe11c2,200$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2429723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed FaZe20c2,173$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.55442.6%23 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.