TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6a0…4469

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT14759.2%87 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$8,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,574.67
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,605Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5,171.95
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,015Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,762.02
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,221Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$3,556.41
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$316.62
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.92
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16,976Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5,360.88
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$273
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,417.83
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.77
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.89
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$196.42
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.41
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$296.92
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.51
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$44.68
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.77
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.22
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.82
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$134.2
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$74.79
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.65
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.43
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$771.1
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.75
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+43%+$69.13
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.11
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.09
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+73%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perugia: Marco Cecchinato vs Ilia Simakinbacked Ilia Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$30.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $220 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+85.5%+$289.57
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,775.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$69.7
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$27.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$769Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$414.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$39.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+37%+$8.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+25%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.