Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda91a5834a92b5484402be2a95427cdac4387d7b5f2be383c575f03ba8c689f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $349,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 164,675$100,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,753.92 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 57,697$24,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,450.38 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 35,958$17,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,349.85 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 31,714$14,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,246.37 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 20,348$6,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,693.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…ac77backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 15,677$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 13,580$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 10,496$6,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.79 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 9,106$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 7,101$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.58 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 6,111$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 4,128$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 4,107$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.49 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,989$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.69 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 3,842$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.9 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd366…88f5backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…9469backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…a6febacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,800$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 2,657$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.56 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,390$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.01 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…98c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 2,206$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 2,200$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.25 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 2,100$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,080$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.33 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 2,011$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.08 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,993$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.12 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,897$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.92 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…cbd2backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,850$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,848$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.14 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…246dbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…0196backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,480$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.12 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 1,382$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.16 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…231abacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,372$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,280$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.07 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,120$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.7 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,103$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.4 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,054$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,002$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.84 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.1 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 968.91$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.41 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 963.06$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.84 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 948.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.83 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 921.98$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.75 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 910.78$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.04 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 891.71$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.89 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 875$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 864.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 831.27$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 821.12$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.62 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 811.9$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.85 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…a3b5backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 800.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 798.88$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.58 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 787.5$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 765.96$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.89 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 750$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…2330backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 740$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.8 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 739.79$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.82 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 725$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.5 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 699.84$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.95 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 646.17$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.17 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 642.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 604$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.28 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 592.64$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.69 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 581.2$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.82 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 575$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.25 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 560$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.4 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 558.38$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.22 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 553.48$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.28 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 551.05$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.17 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…4469backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 528.54$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 521.88$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 505.64$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.27 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 493.54$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 488.3$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.56 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 477.3$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 477.14$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 473.47$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 461.07$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.42 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 441.38$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 424.73$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.85 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 424.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 417.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 416.82$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 406.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.