Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b2d592c747c9ae88a3169e73e261f820a5fa4c1019346af53abe9c50dcaa54c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 59,766$26,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,629.56 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 21,881$16,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,287.76 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 20,395$8,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,362.06 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 16,046$7,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,297.91 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 15,000$8,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,575.11 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 12,000$5,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950.78 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 11,348$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,241.39 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 10,291$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,860.67 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 9,514$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,239.99 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 7,897$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.82 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.89 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 7,191$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.27 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 6,062$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.73 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 5,945$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.59 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 5,643$3,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.81 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 5,450$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.36 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 4,950$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.47 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 4,873$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.22 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 4,539$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.83 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 4,329$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 4,182$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.37 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 3,840$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 3,790$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.44 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 3,631$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.38 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 3,303$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.75 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,295$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.43 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 3,235$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.6 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,924$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.21 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,832$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.23 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,806$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.3 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 2,316$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.21 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,300$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.99 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,233$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.09 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 2,045$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.77 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 1,988$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.4 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,946$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.86 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,920$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.85 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,852$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.37 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,750$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.9 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,652$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.78 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,609$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.87 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,596$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.07 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,529$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.74 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,500$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.99 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,415$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.15 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,363$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.02 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,342$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.21 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 1,313$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,180$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.36 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,178$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.61 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,113$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.88 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,052$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.8 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,000$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.36 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 971$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.89 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 967.83$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.23 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 938.85$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.93 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 886.79$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.79 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 886.52$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.27 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 879$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.66 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 864.29$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.67 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 859.63$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.05 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 858.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.95 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 857.99$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 855.33$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.19 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 848.4$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.62 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 799.99$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.49 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 799.74$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.47 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 782.33$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 771.73$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.58 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 770$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 724.26$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f5…c45dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 699.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 660.21$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.41 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 653.68$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.55 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 649.62$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.9 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 632.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.5 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 630.07$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.54 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…b3a8backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 619.1$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 580$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 560$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 559.84$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.29 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 558.14$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.92 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 545.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 544.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 538.86$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.13 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 531.49$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 493$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.22 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 487.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 482.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.43 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…ac77backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 461.76$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.