Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9ce97ceeadcdf37eb1623b8f01aecd92d9e920203460546f1c29a2c8341f8fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $457,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $507,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 76,309$34,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,764.37 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 27,715$12,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,965.03 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 23,329$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,229.49 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 22,093$10,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,101.33 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 18,020$9,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,567.32 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 17,554$7,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,516.77 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 17,243$7,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,230.69 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 15,159$8,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,210.44 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 13,432$7,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,253.06 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 12,398$5,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,721.46 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 10,941$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,010.35 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 10,686$5,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,915.19 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 9,609$5,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.05 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 9,606$4,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,208.81 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 8,078$4,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,553.55 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 7,879$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.66 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 7,049$4,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.14 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 6,321$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.32 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…24c3backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 5,966$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 5,647$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 5,540$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.62 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 4,902$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 4,719$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.09 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 4,199$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.18 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 4,075$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.01 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 3,787$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.66 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 3,728$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 3,500$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.65 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 3,320$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.76 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 3,265$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.1 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 3,213$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.84 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 3,184$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.71 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 3,049$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…9469backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 2,938$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,906$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.04 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,791$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.23 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 2,695$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.94 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,512$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 2,261$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.13 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,258$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.14 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,195$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.01 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…ac77backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,038$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,955$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.14 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,931$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.89 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,744$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.14 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,705$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.57 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad1…12b9backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,670$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.71 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 1,643$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.52 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,573$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.49 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,572$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.11 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,538$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.86 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 1,481$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.95 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,404$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.58 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,357$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.52 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,320$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.47 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,256$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.62 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,148$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.42 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,123$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.56 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 1,120$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.28 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,104$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.25 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,052$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.27 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,050$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.43 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,040$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.8 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,027$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.09 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 1,003$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.59 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.08 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,000$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.85 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…b3a8backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 980.56$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 970$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.1 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 959.96$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.87 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 945.28$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.11 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 927.78$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 920.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 916.37$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.16 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.2 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 893.55$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.55 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 836.36$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 820$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.1 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 815.69$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 799.98$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.59 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 793.22$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 780.08$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.77 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 776.86$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.46 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 776.68$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.47 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 765.8$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.1 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 754.55$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 750.49$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.2 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 735$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.59 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.