Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd209f8031ec084c1e662105b597ebed4d8696814f50b99d70865a71f3f87c59b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakutou Brothersof Vici Gaming, Yakutou Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0cd…63d1backed Vici Gaming | 0c | 6,091$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Yakutou Brothers | 65c | 3,237$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.38 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516c…9687backed Yakutou Brothers | 28c | 1,304$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…bd79backed Yakutou Brothers | 76c | 940.2$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 33c | 861.47$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.84 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…d2a7backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 780$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Yakutou Brothers | 72c | 738.16$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.36 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 682.86$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.75 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 668.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 626.81$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 624.77$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 612.1$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.94 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 603.96$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 601.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.94 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 566.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.65 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 562.19$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…e4debacked Vici Gaming | 72c | 524$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakutou Brothers | 31c | 495.4$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.83 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Vici Gaming | 67c | 453.69$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.68 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…3af6backed Yakutou Brothers | 55c | 373.77$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 370$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.1 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 363.24$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 334.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.15 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…f89fbacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 325$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…7e2bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 23c | 324.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 307.83$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.76 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 305.33$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 304.01$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yakutou Brothers | 40c | 298.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.15 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Yakutou Brothers | 26c | 298.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.35 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 281.71$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 251.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.45 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Vici Gaming | 77c | 232.41$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.02 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yakutou Brothers | 24c | 217.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.15 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f22…3f6cbacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 204.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Yakutou Brothers | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yakutou Brothers | 42c | 196.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…f889backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 191.72$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Yakutou Brothers | 22c | 191.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.36 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Yakutou Brothers | 62c | 185.28$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 184.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.84 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Vici Gaming | 8c | 178$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Yakutou Brothers | 58c | 173.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Vici Gaming | 72c | 171.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yakutou Brothers | 60c | 165.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 164.23$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 154 | 65.6%101 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…b43bbacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 140$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 139.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…433dbacked Vici Gaming | 74c | 121.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…98ddbacked Yakutou Brothers | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 118.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 111.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed Yakutou Brothers | 31c | 110$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 104.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…4469backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 103.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Yakutou Brothers | 29c | 101.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…765abacked Vici Gaming | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Vici Gaming | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Vici Gaming | 73c | 98.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 97.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Yakutou Brothers | 50c | 97.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Yakutou Brothers | 51c | 96.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 94.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 91.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 215 | 51.6%111 W · 104 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Vici Gaming | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb34…507bbacked Vici Gaming | 68c | 77.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 77.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 71.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…0cb5backed Yakutou Brothers | 37c | 69.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yakutou Brothers | 26c | 68.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yakutou Brothers | 56c | 67.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Vici Gaming | 79c | 63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6514…c97cbacked Vici Gaming | 79c | 62.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked Yakutou Brothers | 32c | 61.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…fcf6backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 59.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 58.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -82%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Yakutou Brothers | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7092…f8bfbacked Yakutou Brothers | 56c | 51.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Yakutou Brothers | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…0185backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Vici Gaming | 26c | 41.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Yakutou Brothers | 41c | 40.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…d964backed Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…1028backed Yakutou Brothers | 26c | 39.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be3…1b19backed Yakutou Brothers | 49c | 37.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Yakutou Brothers | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 58c | 34.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Yakutou Brothers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…20e7backed Yakutou Brothers | 64c | 34.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…9520backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 33.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 32.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 WinnerYakutou Brothers won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 WinnerYakutou Brothers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.