TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a9d…98dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Earnings, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 57 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.68
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$93.6
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+98%+$59.4
Valorant: sleepers vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$70.2
Valorant: sleepers vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40.8
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$32.24
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92.5%+$24.51
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+150%+$239.64
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$70.71
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$171.25
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+106.6%+$25.8
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+105.1%+$53.8
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.52
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+43.3%+$54.4
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+316.9%+$266.05
Valorant: FUT Academy vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Seasonbacked FUT Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.2%+$103.24
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$28
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+36.6%+$85.18
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+30.6%+$46.9
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$80.24
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$37.3
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.19
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.89
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.67
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.55
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$75.5
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.45
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.33
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.91
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.17
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$44.27
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$66.77
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.27
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$94.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$23.65
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$54.35
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$28.59
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$71.66
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27.7
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.38
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.74
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO5) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.1
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+237.1%+$84.4
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.7%+$35.48
Dota 2: Aurora vs strongboys - Game 1 Winnerbacked strongboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+66.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+303.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+524.3%+$99.1
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+83.2%+$22.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+80.4%+$23.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+73.8%+$84.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.