Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb4937d3236e2ed29baf971cfeb0156a2a9ff929758fd7fbba6478894885e945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Sentinels | 56c | 2,003$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.3 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Sentinels | 54c | 1,570$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.7 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sentinels | 51c | 1,232$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.34 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 1,143$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.53 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 900$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.34 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Sentinels | 25c | 877.94$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.43 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 814.39$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.67 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Sentinels | 47c | 674.11$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.78 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0546…7ac6backed Sentinels | 48c | 626.87$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 417$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.82 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 100 Thieves | 31c | 371$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.99 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 317.37$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.05 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Sentinels | 58c | 302.24$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.44 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Sentinels | 44c | 216$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…d57dbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 206.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…28bfbacked Sentinels | 57c | 176.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sentinels | 37c | 111.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sentinels | 45c | 74.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Sentinels | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…98ddbacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…cc11backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed 100 Thieves | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c8…0157backed Sentinels | 57c | 26.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 20.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d04…5794backed Sentinels | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.