Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x936d48292c173f9cc028ea5bef9d356345a8175f0bd6c42fa4b98a4971ce342d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Sentinels | 52c | 3,620$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.36 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 1,451$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.06 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 864.56$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.2 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels | 16c | 590.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 560.95$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.79 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 500.37$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Sentinels | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 415.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.79 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Sentinels | 44c | 358.34$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 352.35$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 279.87$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 233.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…d57dbacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 228.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 226.76$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 212.2$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Sentinels | 57c | 176.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Sentinels | 58c | 134.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…cc11backed Sentinels | 14c | 117.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Sentinels | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sentinels | 36c | 89.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…88d6backed Sentinels | 46c | 76.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 69.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Sentinels | 33c | 49.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 39.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd201…0559backed Sentinels | 51c | 35.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 34.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…462cbacked Sentinels | 63c | 31.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Sentinels | 42c | 25.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…2302backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d391backed Sentinels | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Sentinels | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.