TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6d7…f810

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT4843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jordan leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Jordan vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+166.3%+$271.27
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.49
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.03
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.49
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.38
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.97
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$37.38
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.34
Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$27.07
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.99
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.87
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+41%+$21.15
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.54
Ghana to score first vs. Panama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Ghana vs. Panama: Neither team to score first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$14.25
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$78.8
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$17.45
Will Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14.95
Will CDP Junior FC vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.76
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.92
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$109.86
Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.4
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Will Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+370.7%+$41.74
Will Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Club Nacional de Football leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.96
All 16 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33%+$12.4
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.67
Kristiansund BK leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$172
Lillestrøm SK leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.29
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$16
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.06
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will Aalesunds FK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$97.5
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+53.8%+$105
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.05
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+222.8%+$37.83
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.44
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60.09
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$99.34
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+27.4%+$10.55
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.1%+$27.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.11
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+137.7%+$51.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$73.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,097.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.