Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4e037d6c010aee827115c09a9e3b0c5d8dd218b6484772d2c2facf1087fa4a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevada Wolf Packof Nevada Wolf Pack, Wyoming Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $564,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $577,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $564,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Wyoming Cowboys | 56c | 530,659$299,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299,032.39 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 250,000$109,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 184,419$80,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,118.79 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 30,000$13,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,925 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 12,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 54c | 5,076$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 4,955$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.46 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 4,373$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.45 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 3,934$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.04 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 3,750$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.5 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wyoming Cowboys | 53c | 3,615$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.11 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 3,582$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.87 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 53c | 2,805$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.53 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 2,436$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.41 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 2,127$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.39 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 1,445$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.42 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 701.71$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.71 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 557.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.06 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 294.72$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.1 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 233.9$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…3652backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 220$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 117.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 110.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 86.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 86.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 74.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e75…37d8backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 69.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…9c15backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wyoming Cowboys | 54c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 46.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 45.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 43.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9899…a7f5backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 43.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 33.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…04a9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 24.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 57c | 23.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 22.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 54c | 19.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-5.5)this page
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Nevada Wolf PackNevada Wolf Pack won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 144.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.