TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x756d…04a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
203
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST7343.8%32 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$122.62
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Kings vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.75
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20.98
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$86.53
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$39.27
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39.95
Spread: Kings (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+188.6%+$49.65
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$24.89
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$28.11
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$22.37
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.84
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$22.35
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST5248.1%25 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$32.97
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.83
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+185.7%+$19.2
LoL: MVK Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$2.87
LoL: MVK Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.23
LoL: MVK Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.56
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42.9
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$18.78
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30.76
LoL: Los Ratones vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$23.18
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100.11
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$146
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$59.13
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.9%+$13.37
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.69
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$204.01
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+37%+$37.06
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$26.37
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+127.8%+$25.57
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.64
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25.93
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Boise State Broncos (-5.5)backed Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+284.6%+$56.92
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Iona Gaels vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.77
East Carolina Pirates vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+114.9%+$22.52
Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-5.5)backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-2.5)backed Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)backed Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$10.61
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-7.5)backed Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-5.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$13.37
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. The Citadel Bulldogs: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.37
Fordham Rams vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$21.1
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$68.39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$22.29
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+122.2%+$31.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$95.7
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26.73
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$77.23
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$21.43
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$25.24
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.53
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno State: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)backed East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
California vs. Hawaii: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+106.6%+$21.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.