Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfef3f1a41b3cc884c3b14cfe9487efa79939d7d56a8834f611d7d915cc35c15c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Joseph's Hawksof Richmond Spiders, Saint Joseph's Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $695,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $694,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 52c | 656,392$339,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316,826.73 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Richmond Spiders | 48c | 300,000$144,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,999.98 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Richmond Spiders | 49c | 110,431$53,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,923.8 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Richmond Spiders | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Richmond Spiders | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Richmond Spiders | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Richmond Spiders | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Richmond Spiders | 49c | 11,081$5,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,429.92 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Richmond Spiders | 48c | 6,532$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.57 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Richmond Spiders | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Richmond Spiders | 49c | 4,202$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.33 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Richmond Spiders | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Richmond Spiders | 49c | 3,150$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Richmond Spiders | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Richmond Spiders | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Richmond Spiders | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Richmond Spiders | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Richmond Spiders | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Richmond Spiders | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Richmond Spiders | 48c | 811.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.75 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Richmond Spiders | 50c | 773.6$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Richmond Spiders | 49c | 527.33$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.39 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Richmond Spiders | 50c | 507.4$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 51c | 337$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.13 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 313.13$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Richmond Spiders | 12c | 268.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Richmond Spiders | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Richmond Spiders | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Richmond Spiders | 49c | 158.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 65c | 131.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Richmond Spiders | 41c | 112.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Richmond Spiders | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Richmond Spiders | 40c | 92.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Richmond Spiders | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d3b6backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Richmond Spiders | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 53c | 56.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Richmond Spiders | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…ce53backed Richmond Spiders | 50c | 47.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked Richmond Spiders | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Richmond Spiders | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 55c | 31.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Richmond Spiders | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…82b0backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 53c | 25.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Richmond Spiders | 51c | 24.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Richmond Spiders | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Richmond Spiders | 50c | 21.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Richmond Spiders | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Richmond Spiders | 50c | 20.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…04a9backed Richmond Spiders | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Richmond Spiders (-7.5)this page
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Richmond SpidersSaint Joseph's Hawks won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 150.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 151.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Richmond Spiders (-8.5)Saint Joseph's Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.