TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf891…d3b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST4951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$54.4
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$45.8
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+67.5%+$30.93
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Spread: Nets (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+90.5%+$75.97
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+97.3%+$48.63
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$57.6
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$61.2
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$41.44
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+300%+$75
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.04
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$84
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$37.4
Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+406.3%+$128.4
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+85.1%+$137
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$93.84
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$67.6
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+73%+$21.1
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$221
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42.1
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$54.92
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+67.1%+$75.8
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$28
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Jets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+29.9%+$13.11
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+77.1%+$95.8
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$42.14
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+29.7%+$57.04
Ducks vs. Hurricanesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bruins vs. Krakenbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$33
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Bruins vs. Canucksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Jets vs. Senatorsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$63.7
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.98
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Marshall Thundering Herdbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$35.1
Iona Gaels vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$47
East Carolina Pirates vs. South Florida Bullsbacked East Carolina Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Jackson State Tigers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Spread: UCF Knights (-2.5)backed UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-7.5)backed Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$39.2
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Villanova Wildcats vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.2%+$42.68
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-2.5)backed Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$32.9
Pepperdine Waves vs. San Diego Toreros: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$57
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$60.84
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+76.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$52.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$65.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.