NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7065c01ac82d639051693b82b8d1d864a29683d3ae4d8890ddae57992297630
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Celtics, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb889…a430backed Pacers | 52c | 150,000$78,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,000 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Celtics | 48c | 60,415$28,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,999.14 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…2384backed Celtics | 48c | 32,718$15,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,704.61 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Celtics | 48c | 25,392$12,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,188.1 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pacers | 50c | 20,239$10,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,119.6 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.99 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Celtics | 48c | 16,911$8,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,117.28 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 48c | 13,090$6,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,302.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Celtics | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pacers | 52c | 9,871$5,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,737.98 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Celtics | 50c | 7,575$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.5 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Pacers | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…9dacbacked Pacers | 50c | 5,800$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…c6bebacked Pacers | 50c | 5,800$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Pacers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…3ad0backed Pacers | 50c | 4,590$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Celtics | 48c | 4,333$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.86 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Celtics | 49c | 4,317$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.33 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…933fbacked Pacers | 50c | 4,090$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Celtics | 48c | 3,559$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.36 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Celtics | 48c | 3,250$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers | 51c | 3,102$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Celtics | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 54c | 2,897$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pacers | 51c | 2,555$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.59 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics | 48c | 2,459$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.19 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Pacers | 50c | 2,109$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.62 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Celtics | 48c | 2,081$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.88 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Celtics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pacers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 47c | 1,887$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.77 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 50c | 1,776$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.92 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Celtics | 46c | 1,760$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.59 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Pacers | 52c | 1,475$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers | 52c | 1,471$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.3 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 51c | 1,414$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 55c | 1,059$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Celtics | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics | 48c | 995$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.6 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Pacers | 50c | 983$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.5 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Pacers | 51c | 979.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers | 52c | 927.2$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.83 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Celtics | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 49c | 826.09$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.78 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Celtics | 48c | 790.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.68 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pacers | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Celtics | 49c | 647.53$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.29 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Celtics | 47c | 647.41$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.21 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Pacers | 51c | 631.35$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.38 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Celtics | 50c | 528.2$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.1 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Celtics | 52c | 460.13$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.17 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Pacers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Celtics | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Celtics | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Celtics | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Celtics | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…f91bbacked Pacers | 49c | 359.18$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics | 47c | 351.6$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Celtics | 47c | 325.48$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Pacers | 57c | 316.28$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.49 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Pacers | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Pacers | 52c | 250.97$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Celtics | 50c | 239.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Celtics | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…ed5cbacked Pacers | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Celtics | 48c | 212$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…9a78backed Celtics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Celtics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pacers | 52c | 194.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Celtics | 51c | 182.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 49c | 170.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…4ebebacked Celtics | 50c | 163.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed Celtics | 50c | 162.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Pacers | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Pacers | 53c | 121.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…10a4backed Celtics | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Celtics | 50c | 116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681c…ad15backed Pacers | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Celtics | 51c | 111.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Pacers | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Celtics | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Celtics | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Pacers | 52c | 100.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Pacers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Celtics | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d3b6backed Pacers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Pacers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…24a5backed Celtics | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Celtics | 52c | 96.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Celtics | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Celtics | 47c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Celtics | 51c | 94.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Pacers | 49c | 89.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Celtics | 51c | 85.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…8ac8backed Celtics | 51c | 85.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Celtics | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Pacers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)this page
- Celtics vs. PacersPacers won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.