NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceb7a3532240738149c5381618224193a60d5e11f0da9e3388e86b53e62606ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe92…7f3bbacked Under | 50c | 5,700$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 5,479$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 4,959$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.62 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 52c | 4,835$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.34 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 4,778$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 52c | 3,874$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.59 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 47c | 3,500$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…8703backed Over | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b33…1e7fbacked Over | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 1,572$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.44 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed Over | 52c | 1,433$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.63 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 52c | 1,090$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.8 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Over | 51c | 981.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Over | 52c | 882.64$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.97 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 844$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.08 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 47c | 729.79$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.79 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 706.45$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.92 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 50c | 541.5$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.75 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 520.04$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.02 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 384$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.04 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 365.65$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.96 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 56c | 265$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 46c | 205.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…0b12backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Under | 52c | 169$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 57c | 167.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 136$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 111.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 99.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 55c | 88.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…e98fbacked Under | 62c | 80.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…0e16backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.7wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Over | 56c | 70.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 68.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 48c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 47c | 56.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Over | 45c | 53.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 33c | 50.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…3dfcbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…b82abacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…2388backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 47c | 46.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…4abfbacked Under | 48c | 45.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 51c | 42.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Over | 51c | 37.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 51c | 35.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 54c | 30.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 47c | 30.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 49c | 29.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Under | 47c | 29.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 291 | 56.4%164 W · 127 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed Under | 47c | 28.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…d3cfbacked Over | 53c | 27.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 26.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…0ed3backed Under | 51c | 25.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 51c | 25.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…1cddbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5this page
- Celtics vs. PacersPacers won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.