NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x273a3f674bb41631f7340ba22dbe7ed7d16999ba1171b40196e3fd7fb72e0fa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Celtics, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 45c | 87,968$39,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,550.29 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pacers | 55c | 45,209$24,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,363.04 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers | 55c | 25,773$14,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,647.56 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Pacers | 55c | 18,270$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,270.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 55c | 16,259$8,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,376.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Pacers | 55c | 10,914$6,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,911.47 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pacers | 55c | 9,036$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.39 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Celtics | 46c | 8,152$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Celtics | 45c | 7,777$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.65 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Pacers | 55c | 5,624$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.8 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 46c | 4,252$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Celtics | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Celtics | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 46c | 2,590$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.47 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 45c | 2,457$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.51 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers | 55c | 2,334$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.39 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 54c | 2,051$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.74 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Celtics | 46c | 2,004$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.84 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Celtics | 45c | 1,963$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.35 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pacers | 55c | 1,905$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.21 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Pacers | 55c | 1,746$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.66 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Celtics | 47c | 1,623$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.71 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079d…18ffbacked Celtics | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.98 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Celtics | 46c | 1,277$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.25 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf2…a258backed Pacers | 53c | 1,139$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.53 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60de…6453backed Celtics | 46c | 1,077$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 37cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Celtics | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.45 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Pacers | 54c | 1,000$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Pacers | 53c | 971.7$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.7 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed Celtics | 46c | 863.76$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.45 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Pacers | 52c | 792.2$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.26 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Celtics | 47c | 744.21$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.74 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 45c | 700.08$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.77 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Celtics | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Pacers | 53c | 498.11$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.11 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 44c | 463.95$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.14 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Celtics | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Celtics | 45c | 403.8$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.71 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…b894backed Celtics | 47c | 403.32$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pacers | 56c | 402$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.64 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Pacers | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Pacers | 54c | 370.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Pacers | 56c | 339.29$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.29 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Pacers | 53c | 336.45$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.13 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Celtics | 46c | 327$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Pacers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…92b2backed Pacers | 52c | 260$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Pacers | 56c | 259.2$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.05 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Celtics | 46c | 241$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.86 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 45c | 232.36$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…9b80backed Celtics | 46c | 208.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.7wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Celtics | 46c | 205.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Celtics | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 59c | 191.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Celtics | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Celtics | 46c | 164.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Celtics | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Pacers | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbf…5a09backed Celtics | 46c | 142.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pacers | 54c | 127.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Celtics | 46c | 124.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Pacers | 50c | 115.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Celtics | 47c | 113.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Celtics | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pacers | 76c | 102$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…9165backed Celtics | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pacers | 54c | 96.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Celtics | 48c | 94.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers | 54c | 94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Pacers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Pacers | 56c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21e…0b18backed Pacers | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…dbf8backed Celtics | 47c | 84.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 55c | 82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7778…d6fdbacked Celtics | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Celtics | 47c | 74.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -11.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Celtics | 55c | 73.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Pacers | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c02…3614backed Celtics | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d50…133dbacked Pacers | 55c | 69.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Celtics | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…3babbacked Celtics | 46c | 68.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Pacers | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Celtics | 46c | 66.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Celtics | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b09…f0f9backed Pacers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…3fa1backed Pacers | 56c | 53.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…b11ebacked Celtics | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Celtics | 46c | 49.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…fa0fbacked Celtics | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 54c | 47.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Pacers | 70c | 46.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Pacers | 66c | 45.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Celtics | 46c | 43.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Celtics | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8910…dafcbacked Pacers | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Pacers | 55c | 43.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…272dbacked Celtics | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)this page
- Celtics vs. PacersPacers won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.