TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94fe…dbf8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT6633.3%22 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jalen Green: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$37.73
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+99.6%+$25.65
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: Nets (-2.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Nets (-1.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$39.1
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+74.7%+$29.88
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$12.82
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.45
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.84
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$17.56
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+98%+$37.59
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$39.8
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+82.3%+$31.81
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+222.6%+$51.33
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$59.02
Magic vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Magic (-1.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.97
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39.55
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.69
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35.88
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30.07
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.47
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+300%+$45
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+203%+$30.45
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+194.1%+$29.12
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+32%+$6.4
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+284.6%+$85.38
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$35.22
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.67
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+110.5%+$33.16
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+62.6%+$18.78
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24.91
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+125.2%+$29.01
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+130.9%+$19.63
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$15.99
Will Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$13.31
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Predators vs. Utahbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+123.9%+$13.73
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+127.6%+$14.04
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+52.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+128.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+151.4%+$21.02
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.69
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+159.9%+$47.96
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-7.5)backed UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$38.3
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+232.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+232.2%+$46.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+212.5%+$31.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+122.2%+$18.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+45.2%+$5.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Sharaf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.