NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x645d6a2110df970454cf02d3a2d4d3a6c616e4bcd5fab13e174d0e6e61102013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 52c | 54,879$28,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,536.88 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 48c | 40,852$19,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,243.04 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 47c | 12,129$5,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,452.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,417.47 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 48c | 8,882$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,608.56 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs | 47c | 6,144$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.27 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 53c | 4,532$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Celtics | 52c | 4,167$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.66 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Celtics | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Spurs | 48c | 3,655$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.6 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Celtics | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Spurs | 48c | 2,464$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.05 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 52c | 2,445$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.4 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 68c | 2,258$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Spurs | 48c | 2,188$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Celtics | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Spurs | 48c | 1,793$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.4 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Celtics | 53c | 1,643$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.58 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celtics | 8c | 1,463$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.18 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 47c | 1,316$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.57 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Celtics | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Spurs | 48c | 999.96$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Celtics | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Celtics | 3c | 929$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Celtics | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 48c | 870.79$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.58 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Spurs | 47c | 846.64$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.72 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Celtics | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Spurs | 31c | 708.61$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.54 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…f286backed Celtics | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Celtics | 53c | 660.23$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 48c | 627$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5474…ce40backed Celtics | 53c | 573$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…08c0backed Spurs | 48c | 573$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60de…6453backed Celtics | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 37cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed Celtics | 53c | 503.61$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.15 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Spurs | 40c | 488.79$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.01 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Spurs | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Celtics | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Spurs | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Spurs | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Celtics | 52c | 403.81$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Celtics | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Celtics | 54c | 371.96$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbf…5a09backed Celtics | 53c | 363$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Spurs | 47c | 360$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs | 51c | 309.28$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Celtics | 53c | 308.62$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.57 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Celtics | 63c | 299$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Celtics | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs | 48c | 246$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.96 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Celtics | 39c | 230.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…d878backed Celtics | 53c | 208.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Celtics | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Celtics | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Celtics | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Celtics | 54c | 188.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics | 46c | 185.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Celtics | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Spurs | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…9f5cbacked Celtics | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spurs | 47c | 130.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…c3d8backed Spurs | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Celtics | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Celtics | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…b9a0backed Celtics | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Celtics | 50c | 112.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…ed5cbacked Celtics | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Spurs | 45c | 108.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Celtics | 57c | 105$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…80d2backed Celtics | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Spurs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Spurs | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Celtics | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Celtics | 53c | 94.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Spurs | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Celtics | 64c | 90.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Celtics | 55c | 87.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Celtics | 52c | 86.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Celtics | 53c | 83.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -11.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…f91bbacked Spurs | 47c | 82.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Spurs | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Celtics | 53c | 78.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…dbf8backed Celtics | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…a799backed Celtics | 53c | 68.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Celtics | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…4ebebacked Spurs | 48c | 62.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Celtics | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Celtics | 64c | 56.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…0b48backed Celtics | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Celtics | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Spurs | 46c | 53.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Spurs | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Spurs | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed Spurs | 47c | 49.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Celtics | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a462backed Celtics | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…ad9abacked Spurs | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. CelticsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Spurs vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.