NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa72aa6182069de6a3b78ec0328ce41de0cd439ddab80a2ebcf4aa3d600f7f79a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 51c | 4,864$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.84 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 2,454$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.91 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.99 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 54c | 1,199$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.72 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 19c | 1,052$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 564.48$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.49 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 370.37$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 286.48$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 266.46$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Over | 55c | 132.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 51c | 119.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…8071backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 96.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 44c | 96.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over | 13c | 92.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 51c | 51.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf9…ca87backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefda…fadcbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 22.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5this page
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. CelticsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Spurs vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.