TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0674…d6c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
460
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT14236.6%52 W · 90 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 142 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$66.45
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.29
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.24
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.2
Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.79
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$40.58
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.24
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.07
Showing 25 of 142 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10045%45 W · 55 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.04
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.21
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.5
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.1
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.23
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$96.3
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.04
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.61
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$302.82
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.69
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+165.5%+$155.46
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.5
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.99
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.52
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$60.69
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$16.08
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT9652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.81
Spread: Blues (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Predators (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$34.81
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Sabres vs. Sharksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.09
Spread: Blues (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$30.19
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$71.12
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Islanders vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$26.1
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$34.2
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Senators vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+84.8%+$23.15
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST3243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+203.9%+$40.78
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35.48
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+81.8%+$19.31
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+269%+$53.81
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Bills vs. Patriots: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+163.4%+$56.37
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+150%+$97.5
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+75.9%+$26.57
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+170.3%+$68.11
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+170.3%+$68.11
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$29.4
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12.85
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+219.1%+$103
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.66
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+777.2%+$132.9
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.02
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+300%+$37.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$21.16
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+244.8%+$35.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20.25
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.7
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+216.2%+$43.25
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+145.4%+$43.61
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+100%+$11
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$42.57
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.25
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Ohio State (-10.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$47.5
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.2%+$21.52
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+93.8%+$23.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+233.3%+$35
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.39
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.64
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+143.9%+$35.98
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+161.1%+$23.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+191.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+86%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$35.22
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+118.9%+$19.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+57.8%+$29.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$44.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $6-8B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$362.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.