NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c79709e9f99d183a86c11dbde283421cb1a5ceb8da2f281dfaba45022b8bf7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,967 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 68c | 2,551$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.12 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Sabres | 33c | 2,372$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.25 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 68c | 1,139$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.51 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 69c | 782.09$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.64 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Sabres | 33c | 713.88$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.65 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sabres | 32c | 532$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.76 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Sabres | 32c | 440$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.2 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kings | 65c | 402.23$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.66 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Kings | 67c | 373$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Kings | 73c | 363.54$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.15 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings | 66c | 360.06$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.64 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 70c | 289.53$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Sabres | 32c | 220$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Kings | 72c | 209.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Kings | 67c | 180.79$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kings | 67c | 157.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Sabres | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sabres | 31c | 143.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kings | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Sabres | 27c | 109.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Sabres | 36c | 102.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Kings | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Kings | 69c | 98.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kings | 47c | 88.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kings | 68c | 88.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kings | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Sabres | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Sabres | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 67c | 74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kings | 69c | 73.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Sabres | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Sabres | 33c | 61.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres | 29c | 58.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Kings | 70c | 56.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sabres | 34c | 52.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Kings | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Sabres | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Kings | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Kings | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Kings | 68c | 49.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…01c7backed Sabres | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Kings | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kings | 67c | 42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Sabres | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kings | 66c | 34.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 68c | 33.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Kings | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Kings | 68c | 30.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Kings | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 68c | 28.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Kings | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Kings | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Kings | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Kings | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)this page
- Sabres vs. KingsSabres won
- Sabres vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.