NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00f6e2dcbdaa165e36668c5b9fa1eabb52665bbfef19fd0444f44d7b429b27d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $971,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971,100 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sabres | 54c | 214,632$115,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,423.57 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 46c | 97,440$45,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,298.2 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kings | 47c | 96,000$45,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,120 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Sabres | 61c | 88,061$53,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,248.59 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Sabres | 39c | 64,289$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,288.82 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Kings | 46c | 43,941$20,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,212.86 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Kings | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,400 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kings | 62c | 33,333$20,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,666.46 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Sabres | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 46c | 22,705$10,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,448.04 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Kings | 41c | 20,925$8,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,535.09 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sabres | 53c | 19,531$10,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,179.38 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 46c | 16,000$7,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,409.9 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kings | 48c | 13,000$6,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,179.99 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kings | 47c | 11,000$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 47c | 8,333$3,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,892.68 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Sabres | 58c | 7,940$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.65 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 46c | 7,334$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.33 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 51c | 7,144$3,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.52 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Sabres | 54c | 6,157$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.41 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 56c | 6,134$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440.84 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Kings | 47c | 5,640$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.8 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Sabres | 54c | 5,600$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kings | 46c | 5,158$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.92 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 61c | 5,085$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.99 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Kings | 47c | 5,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Sabres | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Kings | 46c | 4,972$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.19 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sabres | 53c | 4,567$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.49 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 49c | 4,549$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.94 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kings | 46c | 4,375$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.96 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 52c | 4,194$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.2 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Kings | 46c | 4,008$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d7…5866backed Kings | 47c | 3,784$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kings | 47c | 3,711$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.48 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Sabres | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Kings | 46c | 3,578$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.09 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 46c | 3,480$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.78 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Kings | 47c | 3,020$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sabres | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 48c | 2,890$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.12 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kings | 48c | 2,767$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.52 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Sabres | 55c | 2,717$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.03 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sabres | 54c | 2,674$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.07 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kings | 45c | 2,600$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kings | 46c | 2,482$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.72 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Kings | 46c | 2,222$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.11 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kings | 8c | 2,118$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.19 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Kings | 47c | 2,106$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Sabres | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sabres | 54c | 1,858$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.88 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kings | 44c | 1,817$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.73 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Kings | 47c | 1,809$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 56c | 1,693$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.06 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked Sabres | 55c | 1,541$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Kings | 53c | 1,502$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.21 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Kings | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.06 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Kings | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Sabres | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 29c | 1,415$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.62 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Kings | 47c | 1,411$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Sabres | 57c | 1,396$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.06 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Sabres | 69c | 1,373$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.92 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Kings | 42c | 1,328$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.91 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Sabres | 78c | 1,257$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.35 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Kings | 44c | 1,204$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.84 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Kings | 13c | 1,051$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.7 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Kings | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Sabres | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sabres | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Sabres | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Sabres | 54c | 994$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.24 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Sabres | 53c | 990$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.3 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Sabres | 36c | 964.83$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 32c | 956.88$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.41 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Sabres | 56c | 938.54$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.31 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Sabres | 54c | 930$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.8 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Sabres | 54c | 910$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.6 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Kings | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Kings | 46c | 899.99$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.99 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Sabres | 54c | 874.07$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.07 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Sabres | 52c | 853.85$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.85 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Kings | 46c | 827.19$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.51 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Sabres | 54c | 799.96$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.98 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…01d8backed Sabres | 54c | 794$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.24 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kings | 24c | 771.91$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.58 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Sabres | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…c197backed Kings | 47c | 695.74$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kings | 12c | 673$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 54c | 669.95$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.15 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 46c | 662.67$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.79 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Kings | 47c | 599.95$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.98 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sabres | 49c | 566.12$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.05 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Sabres | 54c | 557$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.22 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Kings | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Sabres | 54c | 519$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.92 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Kingsthis page
- Sabres vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.