NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7b777864caee67c1a016ca4b6e2ba6c5defda54948c8a51c38c279ace34c519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $892,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $892,792 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 641 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Utah | 56c | 330,910$183,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,798.38 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…8057backed Ducks | 44c | 253,089$111,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,362.11 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Ducks | 44c | 80,000$35,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,800 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks | 45c | 72,893$32,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,139.85 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd536…e574backed Utah | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Utah | 56c | 37,185$20,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,771.1 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Utah | 36c | 22,546$8,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,064.32 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Utah | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Ducks | 71c | 18,975$13,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.74 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Ducks | 43c | 15,000$6,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,489.74 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Utah | 55c | 14,539$8,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,068.05 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Utah | 45c | 12,966$5,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,793.53 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Utah | 56c | 12,575$7,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,042 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Utah | 36c | 10,064$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.7 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Utah | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.99 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Ducks | 60c | 9,983$5,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,034.73 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Ducks | 45c | 8,889$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.89 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Utah | 55c | 8,833$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.98 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Utah | 56c | 8,759$4,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,901.59 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Ducks | 64c | 8,185$5,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.14 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Ducks | 45c | 8,053$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,428.88 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah | 55c | 6,907$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.01 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Ducks | 51c | 6,831$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.51 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Ducks | 45c | 6,268$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.42 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Utah | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Utah | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 33c | 5,695$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,815.78 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Ducks | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Utah | 47c | 4,513$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.3 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Utah | 63c | 4,473$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah | 23c | 4,450$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.87 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Ducks | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.57 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ducks | 70c | 4,017$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.84 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Utah | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…4605backed Ducks | 45c | 3,902$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah | 49c | 3,733$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.06 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks | 45c | 3,643$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.94 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Utah | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.97 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Utah | 55c | 3,400$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Utah | 41c | 3,400$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.99 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Ducks | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Utah | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.13 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Ducks | 45c | 3,193$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.15 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Ducks | 44c | 3,111$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.16 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Utah | 56c | 3,111$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.39 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Utah | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Utah | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…3e81backed Utah | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Utah | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cea…2c92backed Utah | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Utah | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.98 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…bd8cbacked Ducks | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.97 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Ducks | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.93 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Utah | 56c | 2,968$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Ducks | 51c | 2,965$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.73 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Utah | 66c | 2,873$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.33 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Utah | 55c | 2,800$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Ducks | 70c | 2,748$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.67 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ducks | 45c | 2,735$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.69 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Ducks | 70c | 2,708$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.97 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…e085backed Ducks | 49c | 2,563$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Utah | 28c | 2,510$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.82 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Utah | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Utah | 28c | 2,301$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.17 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Utah | 29c | 2,287$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.4 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Utah | 55c | 2,260$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Utah | 27c | 2,227$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.1 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Utah | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.1 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah | 37c | 2,221$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.88 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Utah | 22c | 2,198$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.93 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Utah | 29c | 2,141$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.6 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Utah | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Ducks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked Ducks | 46c | 1,974$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.79 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…8f66backed Ducks | 44c | 1,950$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Utah | 56c | 1,914$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Utah | 55c | 1,899$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.51 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Utah | 28c | 1,882$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.92 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Utah | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Ducks | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Utah | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Ducks | 44c | 1,784$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Ducks | 68c | 1,753$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.61 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Utah | 23c | 1,748$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Ducks | 71c | 1,725$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.25 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Ducks | 46c | 1,656$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.37 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Ducks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.96 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ducks | 79c | 1,481$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.05 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Ducks | 45c | 1,445$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.56 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Utah | 55c | 1,435$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.31 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Ducks | 45c | 1,330$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Ducks | 45c | 1,329$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.89 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 47c | 1,317$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Ducks | 45c | 1,306$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.5 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Ducks | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c19…064fbacked Utah | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Ducks | 45c | 1,288$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.4 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Ducks | 45c | 1,264$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah | 33c | 1,236$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.01 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Utahthis page
- Ducks vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.