NHL · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f4c04626c2b897c88e9ac981d234815db4d8bb1d80b94a8ac0fef936d159a23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Utah, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,860 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c61…abc2backed Ducks | 68c | 3,200$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d0…85f1backed Ducks | 68c | 900$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Utah | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5758…d5e6backed Ducks | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ducks | 65c | 520.98$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.34 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Utah | 34c | 454.16$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Ducks | 66c | 389.94$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.58 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 68c | 276.52$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Ducks | 67c | 229$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Ducks | 67c | 211$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Utah | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Utah | 32c | 184.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Utah | 31c | 168.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Ducks | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301c…241fbacked Utah | 35c | 145$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58fb…1f65backed Utah | 13c | 133.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Utah | 33c | 127$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Utah | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Ducks | 69c | 116.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Ducks | 68c | 115$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Ducks | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Ducks | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Utah | 32c | 89.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Ducks | 68c | 84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Ducks | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Utah | 31c | 74.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Utah | 33c | 64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Ducks | 68c | 57.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Utah | 33c | 49.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9657…d3d8backed Utah | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah | 32c | 38.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Ducks | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Ducks | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Ducks | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ducks | 66c | 24.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Ducks | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)this page
- Ducks vs. UtahDucks won
- Ducks vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.