NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0ac45c67ddfa2c99688387c7011418e68f7e81a17b712cfcce0778fd2c5b142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,908 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 53c | 10,042$5,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,316.7 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 48c | 7,295$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 6,779$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.03 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 53c | 6,729$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.14 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 48c | 3,432$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.39 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 3,188$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.73 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 2,861$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.33 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 2,600$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Over | 52c | 1,542$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,088$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.56 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Under | 48c | 770$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Under | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 57c | 653.87$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.25 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 42c | 648.71$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.41 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 64c | 613.1$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.22 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 525.31$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.16 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 58c | 482.92$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.83 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 459.6$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.96 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Under | 48c | 456.25$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 449.66$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 53c | 443$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.79 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 61c | 403.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.57 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.38 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 46c | 360$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.05 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 45c | 336.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.24 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 241.88$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 53c | 235.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.66 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 77c | 129.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Over | 22c | 128.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 121.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Over | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 55c | 91.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 54c | 90.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d8…49b8backed Under | 55c | 87.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 58c | 60.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 56.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 47c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Under | 73c | 50.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…560bbacked Over | 51c | 48.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…23a9backed Over | 33c | 47.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 49c | 43.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 48c | 30.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Over | 53c | 27.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…c184backed Under | 73c | 24.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…67a7backed Under | 48c | 24.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…ec97backed Over | 53c | 24.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 47c | 23.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…bad0backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 22.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 22.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d40…0af8backed Under | 74c | 13.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5this page
- Ducks vs. UtahDucks won
- Ducks vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.