NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c8686cfe796baebfd02de36f4982cd407384c8a13adba08e084efc5befa7bef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,303 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 1,887$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 1,853$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.57 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.48 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…ee02backed Under | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 1,151$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.98 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Over | 52c | 1,122$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.03 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 24c | 1,091$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.02 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 57c | 961$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.23 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 58c | 931.54$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.45 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 51c | 916.93$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.75 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 887.31$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.12 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 52c | 880$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Over | 57c | 786.16$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.49 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 723.31$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 29c | 534.21$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.7 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 482.54$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Over | 57c | 469.33$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.81 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 288$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Under | 44c | 235.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 199.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 43c | 198.42$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 42c | 191.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over | 55c | 180.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 178.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…b58ebacked Over | 58c | 172.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 47c | 170.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…768abacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 43c | 163.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 52c | 155$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 152.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Over | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 43c | 147$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…32aabacked Over | 57c | 124.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 58c | 118.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…d8d9backed Over | 68c | 103.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 57c | 96.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Over | 54c | 74.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 47c | 69.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 56c | 62.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 41c | 59.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 43c | 57.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…2e0abacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf12…cbd9backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Over | 56c | 42.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Over | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 35.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Over | 44c | 34.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 54c | 33.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 52c | 33.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 46c | 31.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 34c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…3b7abacked Over | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 44c | 29.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…dd5abacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 45c | 25.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 45c | 24.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…629fbacked Under | 43c | 23.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 48c | 21.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 75c | 21.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5this page
- Ben Saraf: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nets vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Nets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Nets won
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Nets won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.