NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8eda578ee4dcb26707e4f364af6bf6be495ede6e33eb7f7344762f3b8bc856d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Warriors, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,051 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 52c | 16,905$8,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,790.56 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Warriors | 50c | 10,369$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,141.56 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 46c | 10,074$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,394.05 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 54c | 7,491$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.16 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Nets | 50c | 6,653$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.63 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Warriors | 55c | 5,012$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.37 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nets | 46c | 4,866$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Nets | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Nets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Nets | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,602$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Nets | 50c | 3,409$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.59 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Nets | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Nets | 57c | 2,775$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.11 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nets | 44c | 2,493$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.18 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 43c | 2,214$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.24 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 53c | 1,896$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.88 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nets | 43c | 1,787$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.27 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 46c | 1,750$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Warriors | 54c | 1,325$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.55 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Nets | 49c | 1,286$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.71 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 42c | 1,257$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Nets | 43c | 1,257$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.56 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Nets | 48c | 1,035$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.2 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 54c | 1,031$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.74 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nets | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Warriors | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Warriors | 52c | 999.91$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.96 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Warriors | 52c | 946.72$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Nets | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nets | 47c | 772.05$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.46 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Nets | 44c | 681.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.81 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Nets | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Nets | 47c | 641.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.92 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Nets | 47c | 632.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.49 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Nets | 45c | 591.53$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.76 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Nets | 57c | 520$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 53c | 505.3$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.81 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nets | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Nets | 48c | 495.64$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.73 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Nets | 47c | 484.36$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.71 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nets | 46c | 435.81$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.84 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Nets | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nets | 65c | 420.23$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Warriors | 53c | 413.52$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.03 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Nets | 50c | 359.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.86 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Nets | 47c | 316$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.48 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Warriors | 53c | 301.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Nets | 47c | 289.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.14 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…603dbacked Warriors | 54c | 271.72$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…c184backed Nets | 63c | 270$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…71a0backed Nets | 49c | 242.47$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.66 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 47c | 226.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Nets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Warriors | 55c | 204.08$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364b…f9bebacked Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Nets | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Warriors | 52c | 185.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nets | 52c | 157.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nets | 46c | 155.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Nets | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Nets | 48c | 141.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Nets | 48c | 115$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Nets | 47c | 113.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…ae0ebacked Nets | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Nets | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9d…43e9backed Warriors | 13c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nets | 49c | 103.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nets | 65c | 103.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 47c | 102.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Nets | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Nets | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Nets | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Warriors | 55c | 93.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors | 55c | 93.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nets | 48c | 91.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Warriors | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Warriors | 55c | 89.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets | 50c | 88.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…e029backed Nets | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nets | 44c | 79.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f42bbacked Nets | 49c | 77.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Warriors | 47c | 77.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Warriors | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Warriors | 52c | 66.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Nets | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Nets | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Nets | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec60…8ad8backed Nets | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Nets | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Nets | 50c | 58.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Warriors | 50c | 54.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Nets | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…4b69backed Nets | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Warriors | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Warriors | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…ef51backed Nets | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…b2cbbacked Nets | 47c | 45.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Nets | 48c | 41.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)this page
- Ben Saraf: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nets vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Nets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5Over won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Nets won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.