NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc2e78f7d1e151dbe519a2cf9f0c23723126d01ee789d8f22c6cdd2581e52271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,583 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 50c | 35,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,499.99 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 50c | 11,872$5,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,936 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 10,360$5,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,283.41 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 50c | 10,351$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175.75 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 9,767$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,866.4 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 52c | 8,654$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 8,482$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.63 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 6,802$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 5,328$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 4,325$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.21 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Over | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 2,421$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.98 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2966…4e4ebacked Over | 51c | 2,340$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,309$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Over | 51c | 1,625$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.98 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…4e34backed Over | 51c | 1,290$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 46c | 1,285$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.01 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 46c | 978.28$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.27 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 62c | 880.5$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.5 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 50c | 877.71$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.86 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 811.12$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.56 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 52c | 580.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.42 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 550$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.79 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 46c | 494$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.76 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 49c | 493.77$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.68 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 37c | 423.41$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.77 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Under | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 70c | 349.22$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.69 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 344$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 51c | 328.03$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 309.23$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.49 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 50c | 302.59$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 301.01$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.47 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 274.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.82 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 52c | 269.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 29c | 254.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 50c | 248.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.11 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Over | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Over | 53c | 227.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 207.39$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Under | 49c | 205.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 52c | 198$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Over | 51c | 190.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 48c | 182.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 47c | 180.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 64c | 177.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Over | 57c | 173.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 169.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 49c | 169.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 50c | 167.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 50c | 160.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 55c | 159.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 50c | 155.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 154.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 47c | 148.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 142.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 47c | 140.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 47c | 135$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 128.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 127.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 126$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…d2e3backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 107.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…629fbacked Under | 50c | 99.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 48c | 94.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 90.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 46c | 89.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 40c | 83.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Over | 51c | 83.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 251 | 53.8%135 W · 116 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 48c | 82.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 75.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Over | 53c | 74.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…b2cbbacked Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 52c | 72.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 47c | 71.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 58c | 67.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 50c | 64.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 59.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 51c | 58.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…9b17backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 50c | 48.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 51c | 47.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 40c | 47.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…0dbabacked Under | 56c | 43.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 46c | 43.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 52c | 43.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 27c | 42.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5this page
- Ben Saraf: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nets vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Nets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5Over won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Nets won
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Nets won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.