NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f9fad81eea68778aacacfd991404f5fc4a6b5f0db19ebc9ae784b9994db8120
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,528 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 45c | 2,000$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.06 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 435.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 55c | 227$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 212.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…c32bbacked Under | 53c | 212.36$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Under | 55c | 207.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 25c | 197.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over | 53c | 187.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 45c | 176.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 150.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 52c | 150.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 125.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Under | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 47c | 113.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Under | 57c | 111.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 105.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 105.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 93.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 87.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 56c | 79.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 58c | 77.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 76.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 43c | 71.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 57c | 71.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 46c | 63.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 56c | 53.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…f64abacked Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 54c | 32.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 55c | 30.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac3…c2b6backed Over | 45c | 26.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 24.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5957…6437backed Under | 47c | 23.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Under | 59c | 23.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de3…b7b1backed Under | 56c | 21.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed Under | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Under | 57c | 19.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked Under | 57c | 19.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Under | 57c | 19.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5this page
- Ben Saraf: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nets vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Nets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5Over won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Nets won
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Nets won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.