NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd92d321e9b7b5c855a33b2b3adf3cd0518d10fbad42e93208c819d028ac7a11d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Nets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,369,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,369,070 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 893 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nets | 39c | 90,266$34,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,780.89 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 22c | 80,860$17,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,504.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 65c | 73,098$47,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,645.1 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Nets | 14c | 56,050$7,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,785.5 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Warriors | 66c | 52,218$34,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,754.17 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Nets | 26c | 46,359$11,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,945.16 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Warriors | 70c | 42,407$29,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,870.15 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nets | 26c | 41,937$11,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,031.66 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Nets | 14c | 40,600$5,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,684 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Warriors | 60c | 38,310$22,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,485.44 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Warriors | 71c | 36,555$25,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600.94 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Nets | 15c | 36,466$5,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,469.85 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nets | 24c | 35,539$8,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,620.18 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Nets | 16c | 30,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.97 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nets | 15c | 27,966$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Warriors | 73c | 22,519$16,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,143.36 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nets | 38c | 22,188$8,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,431.43 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nets | 25c | 21,832$5,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,436.85 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 33c | 20,903$6,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,881 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Nets | 15c | 20,500$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.98 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked Warriors | 74c | 20,184$14,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,305.11 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Nets | 15c | 20,010$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.07 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nets | 27c | 18,670$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980.02 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d22…1807backed Nets | 15c | 17,700$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 59c | 17,017$9,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,045.2 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…3656backed Nets | 15c | 16,000$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.95 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Warriors | 79c | 15,710$12,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.19 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Warriors | 78c | 14,908$11,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.16 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Nets | 15c | 14,239$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.92 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nets | 40c | 13,942$5,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,525.37 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…b63bbacked Nets | 17c | 13,100$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Nets | 13c | 12,987$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.28 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Nets | 13c | 12,599$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.42 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Warriors | 51c | 11,801$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,801.06 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Nets | 43c | 11,534$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Warriors | 52c | 11,359$5,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.43 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nets | 31c | 11,058$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.93 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cea…2c92backed Nets | 15c | 11,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.98 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets | 22c | 10,777$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.86 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nets | 29c | 10,304$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.73 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nets | 34c | 10,280$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.74 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Nets | 35c | 9,889$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.05 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Warriors | 49c | 9,610$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.36 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets | 38c | 9,232$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,487.28 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Nets | 47c | 8,574$4,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.7 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Nets | 35c | 8,332$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.33 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Nets | 36c | 7,597$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.43 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Warriors | 68c | 7,432$5,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.86 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Nets | 20c | 7,136$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.01 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Nets | 15c | 7,080$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Nets | 15c | 7,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.96 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Warriors | 77c | 6,807$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.35 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Nets | 16c | 6,666$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…8e78backed Nets | 15c | 6,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Warriors | 63c | 6,313$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.59 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…5778backed Nets | 16c | 6,059$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.38 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Nets | 14c | 6,001$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.1 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…8ca3backed Nets | 14c | 6,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Nets | 24c | 5,815$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.66 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nets | 25c | 5,798$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.03 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nets | 34c | 5,762$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.07 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Nets | 25c | 5,693$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.81 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Nets | 13c | 5,600$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nets | 37c | 5,511$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.02 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Nets | 45c | 5,450$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.02 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Nets | 57c | 5,300$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Warriors | 78c | 5,128$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.21 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Nets | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Nets | 39c | 4,872$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nets | 24c | 4,815$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.9 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Nets | 16c | 4,800$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…a416backed Nets | 15c | 4,760$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Warriors | 71c | 4,711$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.42 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e7…8cbebacked Nets | 18c | 4,556$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.35 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets | 16c | 4,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Warriors | 67c | 4,468$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.38 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…dfbbbacked Nets | 15c | 4,415$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Warriors | 57c | 4,338$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.6 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…1cd4backed Nets | 15c | 4,324$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c4…ee30backed Nets | 38c | 4,322$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Nets | 16c | 4,287$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.9 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Warriors | 68c | 4,280$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.72 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…dd3bbacked Nets | 45c | 4,257$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.22 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74c0…62fabacked Warriors | 46c | 4,099$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nets | 44c | 4,043$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.61 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Nets | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.97 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Nets | 20c | 3,942$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.12 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Nets | 29c | 3,857$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Nets | 13c | 3,715$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.94 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Warriors | 66c | 3,708$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.72 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Nets | 14c | 3,700$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nets | 13c | 3,692$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 14c | 3,686$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.1 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Nets | 13c | 3,569$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.52 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nets | 20c | 3,556$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.5 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nets | 14c | 3,546$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.57 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Warriors | 78c | 3,496$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.13 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Nets | 37c | 3,450$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.84 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac32…6e3bbacked Warriors | 65c | 3,143$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Warriors | 76c | 3,128$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.19 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Warriorsthis page
- Ben Saraf: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5Over won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Nets won
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Nets won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.