TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,207 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over50c7,106$3,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,55311543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over37c2,445$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.451,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e54…92e0backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over47c2,000$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.6587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7864944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c1,777$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.722,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c1,630$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over32c1,423$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.812,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under79c636.89$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8227745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under70c627.88$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0326337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under59c589.71$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.743,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under76c498.65$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6546258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over42c440.49$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.135,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under69c398.55$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c344.47$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Under64c310.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c302.7$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.774,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c269.69$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.851,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under52c267$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over31c253.89$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7876653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under54c246.48$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3855347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over54c240.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2933748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over45c226.65$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Under53c224.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.729442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Under54c221.23$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2210850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Under52c211.83$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6919245.3%87 W · 105 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over31c196.36$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.953,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under67c184.58$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0265542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c169.73$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.172,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c159$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.734,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under51c145.68$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over38c144.37$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.111,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over40c137.53$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4120741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under48c110$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Over24c101.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.639338.7%36 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4695548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over35c98.46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.093,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under54c92.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.660945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Under65c92.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.092236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c87.06$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.661,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under56c86.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7421352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under50c85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.534247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under56c77.93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.951,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.671,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under63c75.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over45c70.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7629344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under60c66.87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5944551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under76c65.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8237848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under62c62.7$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.031,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.125138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under63c55.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under63c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1111040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Under50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Over33c44.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.859244.6%41 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under56c41.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3765349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over42c40.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8936154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under59c38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5891746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under56c37.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.411,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Under69c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8618261%111 W · 71 L+16.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65f6…8333backed Over30c33.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-64.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under60c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.233030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over46c30.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4111659.5%69 W · 47 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under57c27.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9487744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac3…c2b6backed Over47c26.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.292425%6 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under75c25.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.261,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under54c23.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7652552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under56c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2127463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under60c22.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1314359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under80c22.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4852460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cc8…291cbacked Under51c21.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33f3…d80abacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under58c19.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2957250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed1…0d39backed Under56c19.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.767650%38 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under63c19.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3565630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Under69c18.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9114157.4%81 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under72c15.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4541449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under71c15.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Under72c15.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.