NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2830228a036647f01d5e1f5753f5d2d56742cbfe4d3918e77512322b02ec328a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,529 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 7,968$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,522.27 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 1c | 7,887$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 7,624$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.34 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 53c | 5,666$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.01 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a87…bce2backed Over | 55c | 5,091$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 1c | 5,006$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…e12bbacked Under | 49c | 3,919$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb17…da8bbacked Over | 51c | 3,919$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 3,500$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.16 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 12c | 3,187$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.34 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 26c | 2,809$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.23 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 3c | 2,571$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 2c | 2,567$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 1c | 2,495$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 1,958$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 44c | 1,955$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.69 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd7…8131backed Over | 55c | 1,813$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 1,768$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 1,739$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.34 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,432$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Over | 51c | 1,429$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.72 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 1,319$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.78 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Over | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 1,234$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 50c | 1,074$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.63 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 2c | 1,011$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 46c | 940.04$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.62 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 878.69$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 63c | 873.01$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.01 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 57c | 852.53$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.98 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 701.79$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.24 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 54c | 649$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.46 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 10c | 640.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 51c | 580$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 58c | 547.48$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.6 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 545.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.95 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 50c | 491.2$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.03 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…6dd8backed Over | 42c | 477.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 451.09$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.44 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 55c | 406.06$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.1 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 51c | 379.68$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.14 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 44c | 328.86$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.16 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Over | 5c | 299.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Under | 46c | 299.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.98 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 43c | 298.25$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 40c | 296.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edc…b1e8backed Over | 58c | 284.28$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 45c | 274.91$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.07 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 50c | 245.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 45c | 243$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 55c | 239$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.45 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…a033backed Over | 75c | 215.28$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 208.12$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.55 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked Over | 49c | 205.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 43c | 203.66$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Under | 62c | 199.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Over | 52c | 192.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 177.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over | 56c | 175.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 39c | 161.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…b58ebacked Over | 53c | 157.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 58c | 156$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 44c | 149.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Over | 44c | 148.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 57c | 128.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 55c | 123.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 123.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 49c | 108.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…8fb7backed Under | 46c | 106.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 66c | 97.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 65c | 95.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…55e3backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…2eeebacked Under | 47c | 93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…0dbabacked Over | 50c | 79.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 49c | 70.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 18c | 68.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Over | 50c | 67.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 53c | 66.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 65.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 43c | 63.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1165…1e87backed Under | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 53c | 56.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 43c | 55.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 46c | 52.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5this page
- Ben Saraf: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nets vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Nets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5Over won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Nets won
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Nets won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.