TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,529 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c7,968$3,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,522.272,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over1c7,887$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.651,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c7,624$3,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,822.344,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over53c5,666$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.013135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a87…bce2backed Over55c5,091$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8001070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over1c5,006$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8987744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2c…e12bbacked Under49c3,919$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb17…da8bbacked Over51c3,919$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c3,500$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.1669149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over12c3,187$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.341,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Over54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62012251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over26c2,809$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.233,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over3c2,571$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7841449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over2c2,567$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Over1c2,495$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9516046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over56c1,958$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.684,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under44c1,955$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.6937842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd7…8131backed Over55c1,813$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c1,768$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.514,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over42c1,739$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.343,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73518536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c1,432$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Over51c1,429$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.729952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c1,319$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.782,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Over1c1,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c1,234$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6172,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under50c1,074$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.631,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over2c1,011$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.725049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under46c940.04$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.6224151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c878.69$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.283,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under63c873.01$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under57c852.53$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.9826337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c701.79$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.242,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over54c649$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over10c640.05$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over51c580$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.814946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over58c547.48$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c545.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.954,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over50c491.2$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.0344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Over42c477.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003321.2%7 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c451.09$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.4484150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over55c406.06$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.110850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under51c379.68$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.141,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under44c328.86$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1620741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over5c299.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1433030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Under46c299.97$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.989442.6%40 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over43c298.25$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4236949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over40c296.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1edc…b1e8backed Over58c284.28$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under45c274.91$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0729344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over50c245.71$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6542352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under45c243$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over55c239$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d67…a033backed Over75c215.28$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.461741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Under47c212.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7615357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c208.12$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.552,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92de…87eebacked Over49c205.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over43c203.66$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7920049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under62c199.98$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9931151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Over52c192.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c177.82$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.812,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over56c175.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.179646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over39c161.58$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.345445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9541…b58ebacked Over53c157.24$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7610725.2%27 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under58c156$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.672,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.545646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Under44c149.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8413448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Over44c148.24$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.559244.6%41 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under57c128.28$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5965542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under55c123.84$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1518052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over50c123.83$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.521,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over54c120.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6550351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under49c108.2$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.091,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a6…8fb7backed Under46c106.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.313745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5644821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over66c97.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under65c95.68$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5827463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa380…55e3backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9740…2eeebacked Under47c93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf89f…32b0backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505042%21 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd824…0dbabacked Over50c79.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.112665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.573,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over49c70.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.342153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over45c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7337665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over18c68.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5745544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Over50c67.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5118648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over53c66.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3531955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over42c65.66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.635,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Over43c63.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.210951.4%56 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1165…1e87backed Under34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.822339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over53c56.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over43c55.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9339055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under46c52.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.