NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38bbb47706d500eac8756de327ece98bd267d1d0744f07f0c234f280f2e593db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,806 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Under | 49c | 15,840$7,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,078.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 14,640$7,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,456.21 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 53c | 5,617$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.15 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c0…ae66backed Under | 51c | 2,920$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 2,629$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…c147backed Over | 49c | 2,311$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf8…f51ebacked Over | 49c | 2,213$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7afc…4e77backed Under | 51c | 2,089$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e16…cc23backed Under | 51c | 2,053$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e15…5d62backed Over | 49c | 1,862$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…534abacked Over | 49c | 1,850$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 1,814$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.05 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc05f…ebe7backed Under | 51c | 1,806$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x737b…22a8backed Over | 49c | 1,702$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 52c | 1,677$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.95 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…48d5backed Over | 49c | 1,496$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Under | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.8 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…d778backed Under | 51c | 1,413$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 18c | 1,363$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.41 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,270$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 48c | 1,151$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.5 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 1,148$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…2d03backed Under | 51c | 1,148$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Under | 52c | 1,080$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.4 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Over | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.5 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 50c | 963$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.5 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 889.59$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.27 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 71c | 788.71$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.83 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 575.47$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.22 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Under | 52c | 540.38$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.38 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 492$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.08 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 50c | 481$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 67c | 410.45$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 389.2$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Under | 52c | 384$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 50c | 329.93$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.61 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Under | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 48c | 275$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…e3b4backed Under | 58c | 270$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 256.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 238.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 51c | 173.86$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Over | 49c | 149.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 52c | 141.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 51c | 141.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…b53abacked Over | 65c | 138.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 45c | 131.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 129.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Over | 48c | 128.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 51c | 122.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 49c | 119.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…21b1backed Over | 49c | 112.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 53c | 107.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…0efbbacked Over | 49c | 103.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 50c | 97.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…ecfbbacked Under | 47c | 81.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 52c | 78.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Over | 50c | 77.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…196cbacked Over | 50c | 77.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 75.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 50c | 71.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 48c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 45c | 64.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 62.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 51c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 49c | 61.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Over | 54c | 58.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 46c | 57.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 57.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Under | 51c | 56.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Over | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 53.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 52.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 41c | 51.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…ef51backed Over | 49c | 47.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed Over | 35c | 42.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 45c | 42.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 58c | 40.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 47c | 34.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 34.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 48c | 33.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…b61cbacked Over | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5this page
- Ben Saraf: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Nets vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Nets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Nets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5Over won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Under won
- Nets vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Nets won
- Spread: Warriors (-11.5)Nets won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.