TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac32…6e3b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tweets, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT4920.4%10 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.35
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+1,198.4%+$789.01
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$171.84
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.8
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.38
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+469.3%+$430.65
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.62
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.11
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+441.7%+$202.86
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.19
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.36
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.24
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.04
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+385.3%+$722.76
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$54.67
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$162.97
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.82
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.6
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.84
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.5
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,054Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,139.34
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$1,659.7
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$1,316.86
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,310Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$1,052.08
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,031Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$1,111.96
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,628Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$406.96
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,525Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$785.91
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$359.93
Cavaliers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$31.75
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$379.83
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$175.68
Heat vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$83.11
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$262.11
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$323.02
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$576
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,363Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$389.51
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$200.68
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,380
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.