Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36ae7cb439f44ccd452aadee56de2e0c3ed08abcc58a4d3f36b11707bb043514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 3c | 10,733$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.09 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked No | 13c | 8,742$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.21 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 37c | 8,607$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.36 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 22c | 7,408$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.71 | 405 | 19.8%80 W · 325 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 60c | 6,075$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.23 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 65c | 5,594$3,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.67 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 22c | 5,314$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.44 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 12c | 4,946$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.08 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes | 57c | 3,912$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.24 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 10c | 3,677$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.95 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked No | 1c | 3,133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 240 | 1.7%4 W · 236 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +675.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 31c | 3,079$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.25 | 563 | 29.8%168 W · 395 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 26c | 3,058$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.29 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 22c | 2,816$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.55 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 22c | 2,796$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.77 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,791$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.36 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 59c | 2,780$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.87 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 28c | 2,713$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.89 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 29c | 2,655$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.49 | 574 | 20.9%120 W · 454 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 10c | 2,652$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.84 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 64c | 2,390$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.64 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 19c | 2,378$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.98 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…0a3ebacked No | 1c | 2,105$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 61c | 2,101$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.07 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 31c | 2,067$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.62 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…b89cbacked No | 8c | 2,055$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 16c | 1,984$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.95 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 12c | 1,923$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.22 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…fec8backed No | 1c | 1,716$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 23c | 1,454$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.34 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 13c | 1,445$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.03 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes | 40c | 1,308$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.05 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed No | 33c | 1,271$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.85 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 73c | 1,244$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.62 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 65c | 1,237$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.81 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 50c | 1,159$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.8 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe211…30b4backed No | 13c | 1,152$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590e…e43dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,112$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.14 | 186 | 16.1%30 W · 156 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…9917backed Yes | 18c | 1,098$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.87 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 37c | 1,070$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.51 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Yes | 9c | 1,057$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 46c | 997$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.59 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 56c | 987$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.04 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 61c | 890.3$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.91 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…93dbbacked No | 11c | 884.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes | 31c | 867.91$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.07 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac32…6e3bbacked Yes | 8c | 854.85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.01 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 35c | 778.29$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.18 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…1df7backed No | 7c | 764.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 24.4%44 W · 136 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa90a…63e0backed Yes | 47c | 750.52$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 23c | 744.87$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.74 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 54c | 698.85$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.13 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 42c | 617.84$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.32 | 312 | 24.7%77 W · 235 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 77c | 615.44$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.76 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 609.96$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…5534backed No | 16c | 604.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked No | 6c | 604.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…8c7dbacked No | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 23c | 554.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.02 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 36c | 549.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.25 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8829…cfcfbacked Yes | 71c | 538$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 39c | 510$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.4 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 2c | 505$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes | 47c | 491.36$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.25 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…20e6backed Yes | 62c | 475.08$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 71c | 461.64$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb057…a37dbacked No | 11c | 460$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec07…ca80backed Yes | 12c | 446.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.14 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Yes | 59c | 445.65$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.31 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 9c | 420.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.91 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 75c | 406.03$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 74c | 391$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 112 | 24.1%27 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 77c | 388.23$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.01 | 386 | 48.2%186 W · 200 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 53c | 384.72$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…8b39backed No | 9c | 376.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 41c | 366.52$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.89 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 64c | 354.9$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes | 11c | 341.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.15 | 185 | 11.4%21 W · 164 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c99…ad82backed No | 16c | 336.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 50c | 332.07$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617e…0ca3backed No | 38c | 331.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…ebedbacked No | 15c | 327.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 12c | 326.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.93 | 303 | 17.2%52 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…5ffbbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…460bbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 264 | 18.6%49 W · 215 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 28c | 300$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…daf3backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 22c | 295.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.95 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…1ff5backed No | 32c | 285.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed No | 23c | 257.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 74c | 256.31$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.28 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…23fbbacked No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed No | 16c | 249.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 11c | 249$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.61 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.