Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf53f1512e0b1cc672327a0c2a47d6f2f7fccc2547cf36ee583c120b6cade284c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $426,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 4c | 75,032$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.43 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 6c | 17,860$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.85 | 316 | 24.7%78 W · 238 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 33c | 14,878$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.56 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…8a31backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 8,411$6,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.83 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 32c | 8,038$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.12 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 15c | 7,087$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.9 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 21c | 6,936$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.28 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 12c | 6,746$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.07 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…1305backed No | 70c | 5,069$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.84 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 16c | 4,954$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.49 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked No | 76c | 4,726$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.56 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked Yes | 22c | 4,319$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.99 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed No | 67c | 4,076$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.74 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 51c | 4,045$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.94 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 8c | 3,716$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.22 | 303 | 17.2%52 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 25c | 3,547$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.33 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…24cfbacked No | 53c | 2,975$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 42c | 2,951$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.88 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x590e…e43dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,782$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.92 | 192 | 15.6%30 W · 162 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…ec90backed Yes | 7c | 2,739$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,682$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.93 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 60c | 2,668$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.53 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 26c | 2,606$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.05 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 19c | 2,596$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.98 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 10c | 2,589$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 149 | 23.5%35 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 17c | 2,426$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.26 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 2,403$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.69 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed No | 56c | 2,255$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.67 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a448backed Yes | 7c | 2,194$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 285 | 34.4%98 W · 187 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 35c | 2,096$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.22 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…9fc1backed Yes | 1c | 2,046$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ce…0095backed Yes | 39c | 2,031$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,833$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…9917backed Yes | 45c | 1,802$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.63 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed No | 70c | 1,722$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.35 | 344 | 27%93 W · 251 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 61c | 1,712$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.24 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 17c | 1,686$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.54 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,661$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.04 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,530$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.32 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked No | 69c | 1,447$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.01 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,396$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.39 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…c7cbbacked No | 53c | 1,335$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.83 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 37c | 1,329$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.08 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…899dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,323$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.47 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 50c | 1,284$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.41 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked No | 79c | 1,262$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.29 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…afe0backed No | 58c | 1,224$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 25c | 1,168$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.09 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked No | 77c | 1,168$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.36 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 1c | 1,123$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 7c | 1,084$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 217 | 6%13 W · 204 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,079$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 1,071$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.86 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…eae5backed No | 69c | 1,033$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.74 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 28c | 1,029$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.66 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.1 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 230 | 19.1%44 W · 186 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 64c | 938.31$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 13c | 913.72$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 152 | 21.1%32 W · 120 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 11c | 913.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 14c | 894.15$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.52 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 26c | 890.79$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.98 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 79c | 885.44$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.03 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 7c | 845.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d63…1b7fbacked No | 77c | 840.21$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.21 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 836.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 45c | 815.24$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.1 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 22c | 778.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…273dbacked Yes | 20c | 698.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 204 | 32.4%66 W · 138 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed No | 74c | 678.75$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes | 46c | 673.1$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.55 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 25c | 670.34$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.34 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 5c | 666.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 29c | 648.81$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.01 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 609.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.99 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 12c | 574.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes | 19c | 564.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 149 | 28.2%42 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes | 8c | 530.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed Yes | 17c | 524.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653f…c386backed Yes | 32c | 522.54$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.51 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 32c | 509.66$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 56c | 500$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.36 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 212 | 33%70 W · 142 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb816…9e90backed Yes | 5c | 492.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 42c | 468.79$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.9 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7e…d5bcbacked Yes | 52c | 465.51$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…1c56backed Yes | 22c | 463.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 42c | 455.52$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 335 | 27.8%93 W · 242 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 433.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Yes | 14c | 419.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 156 | 31.4%49 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Yes | 14c | 417.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 38c | 411.34$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.19 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…8b39backed Yes | 8c | 410.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…460bbacked Yes | 13c | 401.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 264 | 18.6%49 W · 215 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.