Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd88c53169dcd4f737b826c4b698131c1e4ebc80fe69447eafe221e57cbde221f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $379,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes | 4c | 17,895$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 144 | 27.1%39 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 3c | 13,822$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.95 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 3c | 12,124$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.76 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…179abacked Yes | 1c | 8,170$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes | 3c | 7,340$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.58 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…cdf4backed Yes | 0c | 7,333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…9917backed Yes | 1c | 7,300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 4c | 7,100$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes | 1c | 6,885$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed Yes | 2c | 6,809$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,577$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 2c | 6,540$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 3c | 6,332$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.94 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,310$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…95ffbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,925$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.97 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 2c | 4,735$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.49 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 8c | 4,673$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.41 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 6c | 4,503$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.48 | 316 | 24.7%78 W · 238 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,407$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 21c | 4,058$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.9 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…178ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,600$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 3c | 3,443$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 7c | 3,377$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.79 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 2c | 3,006$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,931$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 1c | 2,767$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 3c | 2,709$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 2c | 2,502$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 6c | 2,478$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.47 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,400$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.26 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…1f12backed Yes | 2c | 2,378$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 6c | 2,342$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.68 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Yes | 3c | 2,272$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 1c | 2,185$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes | 2c | 2,046$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 149 | 23.5%35 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 6c | 1,842$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 79c | 1,823$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.43 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 3c | 1,646$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 2c | 1,638$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 217 | 6%13 W · 204 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 5c | 1,624$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 19c | 1,533$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 335 | 27.8%93 W · 242 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,527$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 1c | 1,501$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed Yes | 1c | 1,452$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 154 | 13%20 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 4c | 1,441$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba75…adb4backed Yes | 1c | 1,352$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9319backed Yes | 3c | 1,340$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 345 | 15.9%55 W · 290 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x590e…e43dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,286$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 192 | 15.6%30 W · 162 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b9…0d39backed Yes | 2c | 1,284$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986d…b351backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…8318backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299a…3576backed Yes | 2c | 1,135$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 2c | 1,082$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 1,064$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788b…43f0backed Yes | 2c | 1,043$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…1c56backed Yes | 5c | 1,032$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…e7b4backed Yes | 1c | 1,020$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…d6f0backed Yes | 3c | 1,002$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…af41backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…0c26backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 212 | 15.1%32 W · 180 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes | 1c | 999.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 167 | 16.2%27 W · 140 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes | 2c | 970$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b9…7023backed Yes | 2c | 899.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…5ffbbacked Yes | 5c | 885.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 2c | 880.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 152 | 21.1%32 W · 120 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 9c | 843.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 4c | 837.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes | 14c | 811.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes | 3c | 778.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 2c | 764.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 246 | 17.5%43 W · 203 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 13c | 744.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…2a2abacked Yes | 2c | 711$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes | 2c | 710.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 198 | 19.7%39 W · 159 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 2c | 705.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 2c | 676.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 3c | 660.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20df…c3c4backed Yes | 6c | 656.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 73c | 618.56$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.02 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 9c | 615.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked Yes | 6c | 614.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855e…de25backed No | 80c | 599.98$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…dcdebacked Yes | 2c | 591.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 212 | 22.2%47 W · 165 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 4c | 578.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…e6f7backed Yes | 3c | 572.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 9c | 570$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…333cbacked Yes | 2c | 543.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 4c | 534$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 2c | 526.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314d…65bfbacked Yes | 2c | 509.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 320 | 15%48 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…3265backed Yes | 2c | 479.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 15c | 462.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 171 | 26.9%46 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.