TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e9d…e7b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2615.4%4 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.36
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+155%+$34.65
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$110
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.45
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.27
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+300%+$31.5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2611.5%3 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-62.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.51
Will New Zealand win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.01
Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+203.7%+$30.18
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+274.5%+$48.18
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.58
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.53
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.95
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.07
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.95
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.45
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.91
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.62
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.95
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$9.78
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.63
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Lionel Messi score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$35.87
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+525%+$214.82
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.6
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.82
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.55
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-76.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.99
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,775%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.