TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Harry Kane: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,749 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b05…1553backed Yes0c13,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132010%2 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c4,703$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.518,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes11c4,545$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes11c4,321$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.269219.6%18 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes6c3,871$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1436123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes10c2,897$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.618727.6%24 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes16c2,510$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…7cb2backed Yes10c2,501$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506330.2%19 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes10c2,500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24535229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes9c2,381$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0316016.3%26 W · 134 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a72…d306backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009161.5%56 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes9c2,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19017625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x573d…48f3backed Yes10c1,810$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.432425%6 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes11c1,750$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.525418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…a9d7backed Yes13c1,435$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.673630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb379…1a28backed Yes9c1,150$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088344.6%37 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013243.2%57 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007824.4%19 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed Yes8c1,105$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.365962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…23dfbacked Yes12c1,092$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.932638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902317.4%4 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes9c999.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes9c900$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a3…223ebacked Yes11c877.15$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.034017.5%7 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-28.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c90…c649backed Yes7c827.11$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.451533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fed…0d36backed Yes9c800$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7217335.3%61 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes11c700$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.310718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+14.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes9c700$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6319823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes11c699.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7727811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes16c671.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015837.3%59 W · 99 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ce…8bd8backed Yes18c556.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100130%0 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea76…88ecbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011414.9%17 W · 97 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f31…1dadbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508040%32 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b2b…bedbbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8536…bed6backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504522.2%10 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cb…b294backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508522.4%19 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4514231%44 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b1…06b3backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503013.3%4 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid+23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes8c499.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b9…8682backed Yes16c486.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809924.2%24 W · 75 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed Yes9c451.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.615432.5%50 W · 104 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60a7…4a91backed Yes9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e9d…e7b4backed Yes9c416.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.452236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes9c411.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3743819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409322.6%21 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ee…0d0ebacked Yes9c388.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356233.9%21 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc67…2859backed Yes9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306927.5%19 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Yes9c332.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.937022.9%16 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes9c323$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0743826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd771…90a3backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010248%49 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes11c300$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3231920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1c…e369backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010051%51 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254219%8 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaece…6fcfbacked Yes9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec2e…2b66backed Yes9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes11c264.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.025520%11 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes10c260.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257153.5%38 W · 33 L+8.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a9a…6924backed Yes10c260$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes10c230.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.641,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b79…d63fbacked Yes10c228.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.821631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd160…ebbdbacked Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes10c226.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6230321.5%65 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b01…e682backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x776a…5349backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6622…c28ebacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8e…e65fbacked Yes10c220$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227938%30 W · 49 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed Yes9c211.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1916048.8%78 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068d…2678backed Yes9c211.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204725.5%12 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91e…a433backed Yes9c209.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8916739.5%66 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa778…46febacked Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184526.7%12 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa32…99a6backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017945.3%81 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc18e…b090backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.854214.3%6 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-44.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xca09…5e81backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.95660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes8c176.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3551429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x511a…f43fbacked Yes15c175$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.253953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82b3…0c0ebacked Yes10c170$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11bf…b3d4backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154330.2%13 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x218e…95d3backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512236.1%44 W · 78 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1544144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x206c…d936backed Yes9c155.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143831.6%12 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+62.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a38…068ebacked Yes10c155$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154327.9%12 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34be…5f78backed Yes19c154.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c75…16cebacked Yes8c152.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310336.9%38 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffd…f05cbacked Yes9c150.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520427.5%56 W · 148 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb594…ab70backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15258%2 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+115.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515522.6%35 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…93b5backed Yes10c120.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes9c119.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.823950.2%120 W · 119 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Yes10c105$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes10c102.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2711526.1%30 W · 85 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x751f…4a2cbacked Yes10c100.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019144.5%85 W · 106 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.