Fifa International · resolved market
Harry Kane: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbf144572be342fb1df21caea1fb3fae9a0409c5ea355f9065c0c9ca35277a32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b05…1553backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes | 9c | 11,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 4,703$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Yes | 11c | 4,321$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.26 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 6c | 3,871$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.14 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 10c | 2,897$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.61 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,510$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…7cb2backed Yes | 10c | 2,501$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 9c | 2,381$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.03 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…d306backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…48f3backed Yes | 10c | 1,810$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.43 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,750$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…a9d7backed Yes | 13c | 1,435$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…1a28backed Yes | 9c | 1,150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4684backed Yes | 8c | 1,105$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…23dfbacked Yes | 12c | 1,092$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.93 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a3…223ebacked Yes | 11c | 877.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…c649backed Yes | 7c | 827.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…0d36backed Yes | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 11c | 700$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 11c | 699.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes | 16c | 671.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…8bd8backed Yes | 18c | 556.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea76…88ecbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 14.9%17 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…1dadbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…bedbbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…bed6backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…b294backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…06b3backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 8c | 499.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…8682backed Yes | 16c | 486.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…13a5backed Yes | 9c | 451.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 154 | 32.5%50 W · 104 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…4a91backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…e7b4backed Yes | 9c | 416.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 9c | 411.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ee…0d0ebacked Yes | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…2859backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a2…b58ebacked Yes | 9c | 332.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes | 9c | 323$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd771…90a3backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…6fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2e…2b66backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 11c | 264.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes | 10c | 260.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…6924backed Yes | 10c | 260$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 10c | 230.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…d63fbacked Yes | 10c | 228.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…ebbdbacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 10c | 226.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…e682backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776a…5349backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…c28ebacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…e65fbacked Yes | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 9c | 211.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…2678backed Yes | 9c | 211.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91e…a433backed Yes | 9c | 209.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa778…46febacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…99a6backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -7.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…5e81backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 8c | 176.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…f43fbacked Yes | 15c | 175$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Yes | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…b3d4backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…95d3backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…1e21backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…d936backed Yes | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…068ebacked Yes | 10c | 155$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34be…5f78backed Yes | 19c | 154.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c75…16cebacked Yes | 8c | 152.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…f05cbacked Yes | 9c | 150.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…ab70backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 22.6%35 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…93b5backed Yes | 10c | 120.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 9c | 119.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 10c | 105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 10c | 102.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…4a2cbacked Yes | 10c | 100.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsthis page
- Armando González: 1+ goalsNo won
- Armando González: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 5+ shotsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 3+ shotsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsYes won
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ shotsYes won
- Julián Quiñones: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 3+ shotsYes won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsYes won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ assistsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.