Fifa International · resolved market
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f4be72585b89686f45da0d023f5fbc6cf5c6f70ba5fc074977ccbd7714d1278
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20b9…4affbacked Yes | 25c | 106,617$26,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,310.6 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x928b…ccf4backed No | 75c | 70,000$52,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,599.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 24c | 64,475$15,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,946.02 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 76c | 29,999$22,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,799.17 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 76c | 21,797$16,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,552.47 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 75c | 21,525$16,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,176.15 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 76c | 14,900$11,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,323.99 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc902…cd14backed No | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 75c | 9,209$6,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,926.48 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 8,366$6,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,304.52 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 27c | 7,322$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,321.54 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed No | 76c | 7,047$5,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353.77 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 25c | 6,305$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750.89 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 26c | 5,869$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,369.46 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 75c | 5,500$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 75c | 5,201$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.98 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a22…7b00backed No | 78c | 5,006$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…92ffbacked Yes | 25c | 4,846$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,652.83 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 75c | 4,264$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.46 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324a…f1a1backed Yes | 24c | 4,083$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.33 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…4fc4backed Yes | 24c | 2,663$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.33 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Yes | 24c | 2,050$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.56 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 76c | 2,030$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.8 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bae…7812backed Yes | 25c | 2,012$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 211 | 33.2%70 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 74c | 1,500$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.98 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 75c | 1,482$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.47 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 75c | 1,430$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.5 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 15c | 1,408$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.17 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 24c | 1,400$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.61 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 76c | 1,386$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.05 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked No | 75c | 1,201$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.48 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 26c | 1,156$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.08 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…b5f0backed Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.85 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 76c | 1,059$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.55 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4684backed No | 75c | 1,000$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.73 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed No | 76c | 998.5$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.8 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 76c | 908$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.08 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…74e8backed Yes | 23c | 896.06$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 76c | 888$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.88 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…cbabbacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 758.91$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.49 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed No | 75c | 750$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…c118backed Yes | 24c | 697.08$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…0fe4backed Yes | 24c | 687.5$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 15c | 677.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…4043backed No | 76c | 644.74$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 51c | 626.27$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.14 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 603.82$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.56 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed No | 76c | 588.64$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.21 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 24c | 544.41$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.75 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…e78ebacked Yes | 25c | 528.85$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.85 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 17c | 481.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 22c | 455.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x154a…86b0backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…dca1backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…1464backed Yes | 26c | 367.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.13 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 74c | 348.56$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.93 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54ca…c8d8backed Yes | 24c | 334$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.84 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.33 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…7715backed Yes | 31c | 319.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.03 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…afa4backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 23c | 292.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 11c | 277$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 71c | 240$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…b512backed Yes | 25c | 232$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…2516backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 22c | 225.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Yes | 24c | 218$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.68 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…95d3backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…36bcbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 25c | 202.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.42 | 228 | 51.8%118 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de7…73a5backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b0…4758backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…6bb6backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 113 | 23%26 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5130…0187backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 36c | 198.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…2c37backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 188.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…554abacked Yes | 26c | 188.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…06b3backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5222…f6e0backed Yes | 26c | 170.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Yes | 25c | 165.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 188 | 27.7%52 W · 136 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 56c | 161.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…d8d6backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 29c | 152.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 76c | 151.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…cfa8backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsthis page
- Armando González: 1+ goalsNo won
- Armando González: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 5+ shotsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 3+ shotsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ shotsYes won
- Julián Quiñones: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 3+ shotsYes won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsYes won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ assistsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.