TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,238 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No65c33,404$21,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,80313163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No62c23,876$14,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,803.3636250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa321…1dc8backed No0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+140.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No64c9,679$6,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,190.6911256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed No62c9,600$5,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,951.827150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes38c9,576$3,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,919.381,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked No70c9,053$6,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,313.912737%47 W · 80 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Yes34c8,239$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,457.999525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No61c7,027$4,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,294.9732765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No70c6,152$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.954652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No62c5,791$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,590.2714553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes38c5,545$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,437.92,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No67c5,464$3,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,647.7718848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No62c5,411$3,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,334.362,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Yes39c5,014$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.546737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No63c4,762$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes38c4,339$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,705.5924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes38c3,313$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Yes25c3,191$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.765119.6%10 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed No1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes30c3,000$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10212634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No58c2,904$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.194,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed No62c2,796$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.525242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.5816739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a72…d306backed Yes39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.19161.5%56 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9692…7d0fbacked Yes39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.12416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-48.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.861,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3123…23dfbacked Yes29c2,337$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.782638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No61c2,234$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.8934249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Yes39c2,100$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28112047.5%57 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes25c2,026$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.3258530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36026447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdc0…e6a6backed Yes31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3801553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+48.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No62c1,775$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.2514945%67 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes39c1,677$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.797824.4%19 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes41c1,571$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.3436123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Yes37c1,543$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.0486452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No61c1,497$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91337959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Yes38c1,490$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.67636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes32c1,448$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99110537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked No61c1,104$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.729440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x552d…6331backed Yes38c1,101$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.334067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8fb…7ecebacked Yes39c1,082$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.219144%40 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x974e…b5f0backed Yes38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.634436.4%16 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No61c1,040$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.9697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed No62c1,000$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.86564.6%42 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes25c1,000$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75517636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1de4…fababacked Yes38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6207821.8%17 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x324a…f1a1backed Yes38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6203946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75031171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x482d…0487backed Yes38c921.05$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.053735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No36c821.48$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.742,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Yes38c815.79$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.7927454%148 W · 126 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes24c800$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.5923540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No59c795.93$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.892,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4716319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.475341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4721133.2%70 W · 141 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd98f…5d9abacked No63c781.57$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.391723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes39c770$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.73920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Yes39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2314637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7a6…8117backed Yes39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.233441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3820…2112backed Yes39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.231735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed Yes37c750$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.55630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes42c718.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.8265948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No63c692$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.964057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes38c657.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.8927433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes37c647.73$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.0712534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No62c639.44$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.4339951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No61c633.02$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.1425454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Yes25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick44cpaid+137.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5177…7715backed Yes34c597.24$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.298923.6%21 W · 68 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes37c588$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.449727.8%27 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+81.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x323f…a511backed Yes38c586.84$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.8411038.2%42 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c3…e4c9backed Yes78c560.55$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3212365.9%81 W · 42 L+13.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes59c550.18$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5320245.5%92 W · 110 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes39c543.59$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.599530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked No67c533.05$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.1116357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0931…e78ebacked Yes38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3210050%50 W · 50 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes38c524.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.59752.6%51 W · 46 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2ee…0d0ebacked Yes39c515.38$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.386233.9%21 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed No63c502.49$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.5223251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Yes37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31512056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31011638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33ef…c498backed Yes22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3905851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes24c500$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.510718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+14.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb79…47a9backed Yes42c497.16$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.195726.3%15 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes38c494.74$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.7416032.5%52 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes31c490$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.515052%78 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8536…bed6backed Yes39c481.38$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.644522.2%10 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x573d…48f3backed Yes39c458.97$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.972425%6 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Yes24c454.6$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.451163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes33c453.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.855437%20 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed89…a20cbacked Yes25c428$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+79.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe46…0411backed Yes30c410$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No45c405.1$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.822,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ce…dbd6backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.