Fifa International · resolved market
Harry Kane: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5e6e7e94d21e6b8520f75f6cb2d68cdbe14ba1512387b38112860747d275134
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 65c | 33,404$21,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,803 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 62c | 23,876$14,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,803.36 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa321…1dc8backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 64c | 9,679$6,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,190.69 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 62c | 9,600$5,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,951.82 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 38c | 9,576$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,919.38 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked No | 70c | 9,053$6,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,313.9 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Yes | 34c | 8,239$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,457.99 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 61c | 7,027$4,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,294.97 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 70c | 6,152$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.95 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 62c | 5,791$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590.27 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 38c | 5,545$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.9 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 67c | 5,464$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.77 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 5,411$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334.36 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Yes | 39c | 5,014$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.54 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked No | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 38c | 4,339$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.59 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 3,313$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 25c | 3,191$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.76 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,000$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 2,904$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.19 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed No | 62c | 2,796$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.52 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…d306backed Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9692…7d0fbacked Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.86 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…23dfbacked Yes | 29c | 2,337$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.78 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 61c | 2,234$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.89 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Yes | 39c | 2,100$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 25c | 2,026$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.32 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…e6a6backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 62c | 1,775$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.25 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes | 39c | 1,677$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.79 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 41c | 1,571$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.34 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 37c | 1,543$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.04 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 61c | 1,497$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Yes | 38c | 1,490$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.6 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…e423backed Yes | 32c | 1,448$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked No | 61c | 1,104$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.72 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x552d…6331backed Yes | 38c | 1,101$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.33 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…7ecebacked Yes | 39c | 1,082$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.21 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…b5f0backed Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 61c | 1,040$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.96 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed No | 62c | 1,000$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.8 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324a…f1a1backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…0487backed Yes | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.05 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 36c | 821.48$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.74 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Yes | 38c | 815.79$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.79 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 24c | 800$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.59 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 795.93$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.89 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 211 | 33.2%70 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5d9abacked No | 63c | 781.57$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.39 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes | 39c | 770$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.7 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…8117backed Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…2112backed Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed Yes | 37c | 750$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 42c | 718.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.82 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No | 63c | 692$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.96 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 37c | 647.73$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.07 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 62c | 639.44$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.43 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 61c | 633.02$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.14 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…7715backed Yes | 34c | 597.24$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.29 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes | 37c | 588$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.44 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…a511backed Yes | 38c | 586.84$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.84 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e4c9backed Yes | 78c | 560.55$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.32 | 123 | 65.9%81 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes | 59c | 550.18$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.53 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 39c | 543.59$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.59 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 67c | 533.05$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.11 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…e78ebacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 38c | 524.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ee…0d0ebacked Yes | 39c | 515.38$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.38 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed No | 63c | 502.49$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.52 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 24c | 500$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…47a9backed Yes | 42c | 497.16$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.19 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…4c22backed Yes | 38c | 494.74$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.74 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 31c | 490$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.5 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…bed6backed Yes | 39c | 481.38$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.64 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…48f3backed Yes | 39c | 458.97$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.97 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 24c | 454.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes | 33c | 453.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.85 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…a20cbacked Yes | 25c | 428$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe46…0411backed Yes | 30c | 410$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 45c | 405.1$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.82 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…dbd6backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsthis page
- Armando González: 1+ goalsNo won
- Armando González: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 5+ shotsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Toney: 3+ shotsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsYes won
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ shotsYes won
- Julián Quiñones: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 3+ shotsYes won
- Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ollie Watkins: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsYes won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ assistsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.