TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2a6…37b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11414.9%17 W · 97 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$3,417.65
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$146.67
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick16cpaid+234%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+231.6%+$92.63
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+300%+$60
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Iowa State Cyclones vs. TCU Horned Frogs (W)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+629.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+629.9%+$711.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand Abacked Sri Lanka A · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.