TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$376,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$354,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c119,016$7,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,975.048,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes10c30,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes10c24,825$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.59218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes15c13,167$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.682,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes17c11,817$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes9c8,290$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.1238817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes10c5,475$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.851,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes10c4,645$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.2929017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes11c3,625$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ba…fe72backed Yes18c2,244$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes10c2,020$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20220816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Yes10c1,929$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8612923.3%30 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes8c1,870$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes3c1,802$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.197622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes10c1,800$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes10c1,585$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.977433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ba…ea73backed Yes10c1,488$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.85920.3%12 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+90.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42f1…f53fbacked Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004942.9%21 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Yes10c1,170$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11722441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes13c1,091$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes17c1,085$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4312715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes9c1,037$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.321,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb47…993abacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010412.5%13 W · 91 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x60ef…b24bbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022731.3%71 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df9…d4b5backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006341.3%26 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013348.1%64 W · 69 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012015%18 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes12c1,000$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3845421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe0…4b59backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.671546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes9c999.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9015911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9af…40c4backed Yes10c990.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0723218.1%42 W · 190 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes14c945$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2346230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad81…a28abacked Yes11c927.27$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027025.7%18 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa761…cc81backed Yes9c918$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.141329.8%13 W · 119 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes7c899.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005925.4%15 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…3493backed Yes10c740$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746015%9 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes17c710.24$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f72…630cbacked Yes14c700.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100529.6%5 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030011.3%34 W · 266 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes15c642.93$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4451228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0478…9041backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes14c619.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7351032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes15c606.5$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.873626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes10c590.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.921,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a3…7942backed Yes10c578.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.85229.1%2 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf28…b40ebacked Yes17c551.72$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.183218.8%6 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d3…5554backed Yes10c550$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5534524.1%83 W · 262 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes10c547.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7445932.5%149 W · 310 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a1…9093backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504017.5%7 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd0…c562backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507328.8%21 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4538924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae3…302abacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-67.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6594…9a61backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508124.7%20 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa5…784abacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509917.2%17 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…f702backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010722.4%24 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes16c482.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1433510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe760…19bdbacked Yes11c474.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.197628.9%22 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes14c464.29$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656311.1%7 W · 56 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011414.9%17 W · 97 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06b9…441ebacked Yes10c450$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456535.4%23 W · 42 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes16c426.67$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.435612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes16c407.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.830818.5%57 W · 251 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd81…3874backed Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012127.3%33 W · 88 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes8c388.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.911,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc28c…36f3backed Yes15c386.67$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c58…1ac5backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504910.2%5 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-72.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes8c381.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9445536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes10c380$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3852217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes10c373.23$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3242332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d7d…5e72backed Yes13c361.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475810.3%6 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-55.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes10c360$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3630219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes16c343.87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.866932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4001…3fb3backed Yes15c337.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014335%50 W · 93 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…3f67backed Yes11c334.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.177613.2%10 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes19c326.35$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6350146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8431…4cc8backed Yes16c320.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505523.6%13 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Yes13c307.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5417329.5%51 W · 122 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04e9…055bbacked Yes11c300$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.58610.5%9 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…0383backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-89.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe98d…0adebacked Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484323.3%10 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012711.8%15 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0186…2429backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x479d…080fbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306832.4%22 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012124%29 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ec3…e4e9backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303129%9 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2736423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8733…5460backed Yes16c293.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47849.5%8 W · 76 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf310…9f74backed Yes18c278.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508933.7%30 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaca4…f852backed Yes11c276.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.761421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-59.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xebf1…d7f0backed Yes10c267.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.783813.2%5 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.