NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88a945f5acfae0e9f2ad6af05819554212da4f9e36c1310641967bd09e66a265
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,655,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,805,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,655,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,711 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Heat | 45c | 1,224,428$550,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550,817.55 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 44c | 559,767$244,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244,144.34 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 522,823$287,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235,270.32 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 239,717$134,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,475.39 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 56c | 212,798$118,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,329.73 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Timberwolves | 55c | 200,000$110,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,000 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Timberwolves | 55c | 133,337$73,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,001.65 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Timberwolves | 57c | 120,000$68,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,599.95 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Timberwolves | 57c | 96,919$55,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,894.38 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Heat | 39c | 70,836$27,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,439.36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Timberwolves | 56c | 70,000$39,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,649.9 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Heat | 44c | 66,500$29,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,060 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 62c | 56,741$35,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,341.87 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Heat | 45c | 55,556$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 55c | 49,725$27,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,374.94 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 45c | 45,772$20,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,546.73 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Timberwolves | 55c | 45,000$24,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,250 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 43,971$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,971.23 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Timberwolves | 57c | 42,402$24,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,232.81 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 56c | 40,000$22,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,600 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Heat | 43c | 36,709$15,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,784.75 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 35,000$19,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,750 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Heat | 43c | 35,000$15,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,050 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Heat | 43c | 35,000$15,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,050 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves | 56c | 31,173$17,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,716.12 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d9…b7aabacked Heat | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…3e87backed Timberwolves | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Heat | 44c | 26,200$11,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,528 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Timberwolves | 57c | 26,200$14,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,266 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 25,697$14,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,451.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 55c | 25,000$13,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,175 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 25,000$13,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,150 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 56c | 24,910$13,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,032.02 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Timberwolves | 64c | 20,987$13,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,540.38 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 56c | 20,984$11,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,137.53 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 57c | 20,016$11,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,696.36 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Heat | 45c | 19,772$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.72 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves | 56c | 19,638$10,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,640.63 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Heat | 43c | 18,400$7,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,970.86 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Timberwolves | 60c | 18,271$10,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,306.75 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Timberwolves | 56c | 17,778$9,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,822.27 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat | 43c | 16,532$7,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,108.85 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 65c | 13,809$8,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Timberwolves | 70c | 12,121$8,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.43 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 71c | 12,096$8,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.1 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…003fbacked Heat | 23c | 12,083$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Heat | 44c | 12,001$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280.3 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Heat | 1c | 11,858$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Heat | 0c | 11,400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 63c | 10,497$6,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Timberwolves | 57c | 10,000$5,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Timberwolves | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Timberwolves | 56c | 9,999$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.55 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Heat | 44c | 9,596$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.11 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 35c | 8,891$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.75 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Heat | 44c | 8,333$3,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,673.17 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 8,333$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.5 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Heat | 1c | 8,287$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 8,262$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.51 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 0c | 7,841$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 37c | 7,423$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.22 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Heat | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.87 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Timberwolves | 64c | 6,807$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.19 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 6,646$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Heat | 34c | 6,482$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.29 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Heat | 44c | 6,446$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.32 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Timberwolves | 56c | 6,160$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.59 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 6,035$3,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.93 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Timberwolves | 56c | 5,995$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.78 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Timberwolves | 56c | 5,930$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.14 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Heat | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Timberwolves | 56c | 5,555$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.97 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Timberwolves | 71c | 5,540$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.46 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Heat | 43c | 5,407$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.01 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Heat | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Timberwolves | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Heat | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.97 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Timberwolves | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.97 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Heat | 43c | 4,999$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.57 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Heat | 1c | 4,978$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Timberwolves | 56c | 4,964$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.29 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Heat | 29c | 4,653$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.48 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Timberwolves | 56c | 4,561$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.62 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 4,404$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.54 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Timberwolves | 55c | 4,400$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Heat | 32c | 4,213$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.97 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Heat | 44c | 4,091$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Heat | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 56c | 4,000$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.66 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Timberwolves | 55c | 3,964$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.02 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Heat | 1c | 3,958$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 60c | 3,822$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.39 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Timberwolves | 56c | 3,500$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.31 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bae9backed Timberwolves | 57c | 3,471$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.07 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 65c | 3,469$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.29 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Timberwolves | 56c | 3,460$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.4 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 3,189$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.11 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves | 60c | 3,146$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.06 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Timberwolves | 54c | 3,139$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.98 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Heatthis page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.