NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x066c8dcc4fb40055d8b3cb850acbbe897e7e7bb979c9cfc5a43d60e0b40c28b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Heat | 49c | 157,544$76,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,757.96 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Timberwolves | 52c | 105,769$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,769.23 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 50c | 28,907$14,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,468.77 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Timberwolves | 50c | 15,566$7,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,783.04 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Heat | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca98…bba1backed Heat | 49c | 9,750$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc075…f586backed Timberwolves | 51c | 9,750$4,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 8,100$4,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,034.29 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 51c | 7,970$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885.19 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.75 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,324$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,907$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.98 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,064$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 3,786$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 52c | 3,367$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.63 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Heat | 48c | 3,309$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.32 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 52c | 3,292$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 49c | 3,209$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,080$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.88 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Heat | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 47c | 2,952$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Heat | 50c | 2,444$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.77 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Heat | 50c | 2,201$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Heat | 50c | 2,199$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Heat | 50c | 2,175$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.44 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Heat | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…a686backed Heat | 50c | 2,009$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Heat | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed Heat | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,460$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.59 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Heat | 51c | 1,129$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.22 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Heat | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Heat | 49c | 800$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.15 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Heat | 51c | 783.2$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.43 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Timberwolves | 49c | 740.33$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.57 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Timberwolves | 50c | 654$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Heat | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Timberwolves | 49c | 580$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Heat | 50c | 518.69$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Heat | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Heat | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 59c | 494.48$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Heat | 47c | 425.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Heat | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 50c | 375.75$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Heat | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Timberwolves | 58c | 303.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…96f5backed Heat | 56c | 301.35$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…d6c8backed Heat | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Heat | 48c | 299.95$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…5685backed Heat | 50c | 299.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves | 66c | 270.17$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Heat | 50c | 256$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Timberwolves | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Timberwolves | 51c | 243.53$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.33 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves | 62c | 235.29$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Heat | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…1a1abacked Heat | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f422backed Heat | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Timberwolves | 70c | 191.72$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Timberwolves | 64c | 169.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Heat | 53c | 165.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Timberwolves | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Timberwolves | 53c | 146.18$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…17f1backed Timberwolves | 52c | 132.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a9…701abacked Heat | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Timberwolves | 66c | 116.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf893…0c2dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 116.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Heat | 52c | 114.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…1ca3backed Heat | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Timberwolves | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc295…91f5backed Timberwolves | 51c | 111.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Heat | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Heat | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Heat | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Heat | 33c | 98.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat | 32c | 97.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…e9f8backed Timberwolves | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Heat | 50c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 50c | 90.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Timberwolves | 52c | 89.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 50c | 85.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Heat | 48c | 83.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. HeatTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.