TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89a7…e7db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
265
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Boxing, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST11143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.97
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75.6
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+455.6%+$82
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+426.3%+$81
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+566.7%+$84.99
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$38
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$76.5
Suns vs. Nets: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+47.1%+$64
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT9446.8%44 W · 50 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.63
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$425.16
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$50.7
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.27
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+215.5%+$154.99
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,369.87
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.92
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$318.09
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$216.79
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$99.76
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$958Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+94.9%+$908.25
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.8%+$161.05
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75.13
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,280.78
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,877Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+131.7%+$3,789.96
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$165.55
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+25%+$100
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+47.6%+$140.43
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23.42
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$109.6
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$446.75
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
ETHGAS FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+625.5%+$187.65
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150%+$120
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+27.7%+$65
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$559.8
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+102.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be at least 400k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$74.81
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+316.7%+$76
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Aperture - Harry Styles be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+1,105%+$1,566.69
Will "I Just Might - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30.65
All 8 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-77.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+103%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$8
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+57.5%+$10.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Amur Khabarovskbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$166.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.